Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42301922›Full record

ArticleRheumatology (Oxford, England)2026

Risk of chronic kidney disease in newly diagnosed SLE with preserved renal function: a national study.

Iftach Sagy, Itamar Ben Shitrit, Mahmoud Abu-Shakra, Lior Zeller, Amir Bieber, Keren Cohen-Hagai, Shaye Kivity, Oshrat E Tayer-Shifman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Rheumatology (Oxford, England), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Iftach SagyLupus and Vasculitis Service, Department of Medicine, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2720-9934
Itamar Ben ShitritSchool of Health Sciences, Ben Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva, Israel.
Mahmoud Abu-ShakraRheumatic Disease Unit, Soroka University Medical Center, Beer Sheva, Israel.
Lior ZellerRheumatic Disease Unit, Soroka University Medical Center, Beer Sheva, Israel.
Amir BieberRappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.ORCID 0000-0002-0395-4171
Keren Cohen-HagaiDepartment of Nephrology and Hypertension, Meir Medical Center, Kfar Saba, Israel.
Shaye KivityGray Faculty of Medical & Health Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Oshrat E Tayer-ShifmanGray Faculty of Medical & Health Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesSLE is strongly associated with LN, a major cause of chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, long-term renal and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with SLE who have preserved kidney function and do not develop LN remain poorly characterized. We sought to investigate the development of CKD among newly diagnosed patients with SLE who had preserved kidney function and no evidence of concomitant LN at baseline, compared with matched control individuals.

methodsA national database study of newly diagnosed patients with SLE between 2015 and 2023. Patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) > 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 at diagnosis were matched to non-SLE controls by age, sex and ethnicity. Patients with LN were excluded. The primary outcome was incident CKD, defined as eGFR ≤ 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 after diagnosis. Secondary outcomes included end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause mortality.

resultsWe identified 1145 patients with SLE and 91 681 matched controls, with a median follow-up of 5.77 years and similar baseline eGFR (103 vs 104 ml/min/1.73 m2). SLE was associated with a higher risk of CKD (5.2% vs 2.7%; HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.50-2.54), ESKD (HR 3.13, 95% CI 1.38-7.08), MACE (HR 1.63, 95% CI 1.31-2.04) and all-cause mortality (HR 4.52, 95% CI 3.71-5.50). Mean eGFR trajectories were similar between the groups. Diabetes (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.39-1.64) and hypertension (HR 2.72, 95% CI 2.42-3.07) were the strongest risk factors for CKD and ESKD.

conclusionPatients with SLE and preserved kidney function at diagnosis, without LN, are at increased risk of adverse renal outcomes, cardiovascular events and mortality, highlighting the importance of long-term monitoring and optimization of modifiable CKD risk factors.

Indexed as

Lupus Erythematosus, SystemicRenal Insufficiency, ChronicAdultCardiovascular DiseasesCase-Control StudiesFemaleGlomerular Filtration RateHumansIncidenceKidneyKidney Failure, ChronicMaleMiddle AgedRisk Factorschronic kidney diseasekidney outcomeLNSLE

Identifiers

PMID42301922
PMCPMC13318493

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.