Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42317152›Full record

ArticleOral health & preventive dentistry2026

Global Trends in Incidence of Caries in Permanent Teeth of the Elderly Aged Over 55 Years, 1990-2021: A Multilevel Analysis Using GBD Data.

Siman Sun, Xin Li, Yupei Lai, Anqi Yang, Chu Xu, Zilong Deng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Oral health & preventive dentistry, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. A biomimetic urchin-like photothermal nanoplatform for the efficient eradication ofFrontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Siman Sun
Xin Li
Yupei Lai
Anqi Yang
Chu Xu
Zilong Deng

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo examine global, regional, and national trends in the incidence of permanent tooth caries among adults aged ≥ 55 years from 1990 to 2021 and to evaluate disparities across sociodemographic contexts. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Incidence data were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases 2021 study covering 204 countries and territories. Incidence rates and incident case numbers were analysed at global, regional, and national levels. Temporal trends were assessed using Joinpoint regression to calculate annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC).

resultsGlobally, the number of caries cases in the elderly increased from 121.54 million in 1990 to 260.18 million in 2021, with a relative change of 114%, while the incidence rate slightly decreased from 18.1% in 1990 to 17.5% in 2021. However, there were differences in trends among different age groups, genders, and regions. The 55-59-year-old group had the highest incident rate. Low-to-middle Socio-demographic Index (SDI) areas had a consistently high incidence. The number of cases increased in all Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study regions. Joinpoint analysis identified significant temporal change points in multiple regions, indicating divergent epidemiological trajectories.

conclusionPermanent tooth caries among adults aged ≥ 55 years continues to represent a significant public health challenge. Although some high-income settings show stabilising trends, increasing incidence in socioeconomically transitioning regions highlights inequalities in preventive coverage and access to care. Targeted, age-specific preventive strategies are essential to address the growing needs of ageing populations.

Indexed as

Dental CariesGlobal HealthAgedDentition, PermanentFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedelderlyGBDglobal healthincidencepermanent tooth caries

Identifiers

PMID42317152
PMCPMC13280787

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.