Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42333657›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2026

Using a Biomarker of Biological Aging to Predict Incident Cardiometabolic Disease.

Kyle J Bourassa, Matthew J Crowley, David Edelman, Melanie E Garrett, Kelsey N Serier, Jennifer C Naylor, Allison E Ashley-Koch, Jean C Beckham, Nathan A Kimbrel, VA Mid Atlantic MIRECC Workgroup *

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Kyle J BourassaVA Mid-Atlantic Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center Durham VA Health Care System Durham NC USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9372-2309
Matthew J CrowleyDurham Center of Innovation to Accelerate Discovery and Practice Transformation Durham VA Health Care System Durham NC USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6205-4536
David EdelmanDurham Center of Innovation to Accelerate Discovery and Practice Transformation Durham VA Health Care System Durham NC USA.
Melanie E GarrettDuke Molecular Physiology Institute Duke University School of Medicine Durham NC USA.
Kelsey N SerierNational Center for PTSD, Women's Health Sciences Division VA Boston Healthcare System Boston MA USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5926-5415
Jennifer C NaylorVA Mid-Atlantic Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center Durham VA Health Care System Durham NC USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2534-8700
Allison E Ashley-KochDuke Molecular Physiology Institute Duke University School of Medicine Durham NC USA.
Jean C BeckhamVA Mid-Atlantic Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center Durham VA Health Care System Durham NC USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8746-8949
Nathan A KimbrelVA Mid-Atlantic Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center Durham VA Health Care System Durham NC USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7218-1005
VA Mid Atlantic MIRECC Workgroup *

Funding

CSRD VA IK2 CX002694
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe ability to predict cardiometabolic risk is essential to support efforts to prevent future onset of disease. Biomarkers that assess biological aging-the rate of decline in physiological functioning that occurs across the systems of the human body-have the potential to support this goal.

methodsWe investigated the extent to which Dunedin Pace of Aging Calculated From the Epigenome (DunedinPACE), an epigenetic measure of biological aging, predicted cardiometabolic disease onset in a cohort of 2062 US military veterans free of disease at baseline and followed for an average of 14.1 years via electronic health records. Other clinical biomarkers included hemoglobin A1C, blood pressure, pulse, and body mass index.

resultsDunedinPACE predicted incident cardiometabolic disease onset (hazard ratio [HR]=1.82 [95% CI, 1.64-2.04];

conclusionsThese results suggest that DunedinPACE improves prediction of cardiometabolic disease compared with other clinical biomarkers and could help identify individuals who would benefit from preventative interventions that delay the onset of cardiometabolic disease.

Indexed as

AgingCardiovascular DiseasesAge FactorsBiomarkersBody Mass IndexCardiometabolic Risk FactorsEpigenesis, GeneticFemaleGlycated HemoglobinHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsBiomarkersGlycated Hemoglobinhemoglobin A1c protein, humanbiological agingcardiometabolic diseasescardiovascular diseasediabetesDunedinPACE

Identifiers

PMID42333657
PMCPMC13477373

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.