ArticleInternational journal of public health2026
COVID-19 disrupted patterns of cause-specific mortality in Switzerland.
Article in International journal of public health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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7 authors.
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Abstract
Objectives: To understand disruptions in mortality patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic beyond deaths directly attributed to SARS-CoV-2. Methods: We analysed Swiss weekly deaths (2011-2021) by age, sex, region, and nine cause groups. For each age group, a Bayesian multivariate Poisson model was fitted to 2011-2019 data, accounting for seasonality, long-term trends, and cross-cause dependence. Comparing predictions with 2020-2021 observations revealed age- and cause-specific excesses. Results: Cardiovascular deaths peaked during the autumn 2020 wave, while no cause showed sustained excess across 2020-2021. In individuals aged ≥80 years, non-COVID respiratory (-25%) and mental/neurological (-12%) deaths declined, largely offset by COVID-19 deaths, leaving a modest +4.5% all-cause excess. Cardiovascular and mental/neurological excesses correlated with COVID-19 and other respiratory excesses, reflecting strong pre-pandemic cross-cause correlations ( Conclusion: These patterns likely reflect three overlapping mechanisms: reduced circulation of non-COVID-19 respiratory pathogens, unrecognized COVID-19 deaths (especially cardiovascular), and mortality displacement, pointing to possible underestimation of the true respiratory burden.
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