Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42433396›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2026

Trajectories of grip strength decline and risk of new-onset cardiovascular disease: evidence from the HRS and ELSA cohorts.

Yong Mo, Yiyi Zhang, Changcheng Li, Wanying Zhang, Ping Chen, Linjiang Song, Yulin Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yong MoSchool of Medical and Life Sciences, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Yiyi ZhangHospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Changcheng LiSchool of Medical and Life Sciences, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Wanying ZhangSchool of Medical and Life Sciences, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Ping ChenTranslational Chinese Medicine Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Academy of Chinese Medicine Sciences, Sichuan Institute for Translational Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Linjiang SongSchool of Medical and Life Sciences, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Yulin LiSchool of Medical and Life Sciences, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Handgrip strength is an important indicator of overall health, yet most studies rely on single measurements. Evidence on its long-term trajectories and new-onset cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk remains limited. This study examined associations of baseline handgrip strength and its trajectories with new-onset CVD in two aging cohorts. Methods: Data were from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) in the United States and the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA). Participants aged ≥50 years without baseline CVD were included. Handgrip strength across three waves was used to construct trajectories via group-based trajectory modeling. Cox regression assessed associations with new-onset CVD. Fine-Gray models, discrete-time logistic regression, restricted cubic splines, and mediation analysis (depression) were conducted. Results: A total of 4,984 (HRS) and 4,982 (ELSA) participants were included. Over median follow-ups of 10 and 12 years, 1,438 and 1,184 CVD events occurred, respectively. Higher baseline handgrip strength was associated with lower CVD risk (HRS: HR = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.73-0.86; ELSA: HR = 0.83, 95% CI: 0.76-0.91). Two trajectories were identified: accelerated decline and steady decline. Compared with steady decline, accelerated decline was linked to higher CVD risk (HRS: HR = 1.44, 95% CI: 1.22-1.70; ELSA: HR = 1.31, 95% CI: 1.08-1.58). Results were consistent across sensitivity analyses. A linear inverse association was observed, and depression partially mediated this relationship. Conclusion: Lower baseline handgrip strength and accelerated decline are associated with increased CVD risk. Longitudinal monitoring may aid early risk identification and prevention.

Indexed as

AgingCardiovascular DiseasesHand StrengthAgedFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsUnited Statesagingcardiovascular diseasegrip strengthgrip strength declinelongitudinal cohorttrajectory analysis

Identifiers

PMID42433396
PMCPMC13352478

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.