Identification of predictors of the ovarian response to clomiphene citrate in infertile women with polycystic ovary syndrome: A

Background: Clomiphene citrate (CC) is the first-line medication for inducing ovulation in women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). However, approximately 20% of patients with PCOS are resistant to CC. This study aims to identify reliable baseline predictors of CC resistance in infertile women with PCOS. Methods: A Results: CC resistance was identified in 32 (6.8%) participants. Body Mass Index (BMI), Total Testosterone (TT), and Anti-Müllerian Hormone (AMH) were useful predictors of ovarian response to CC. The "T+BMI" dual-factor model demonstrated high discriminative power (AUC = 0.801) and was statistically comparable to the three-factor model including AMH (AUC = 0.818; P = 0.347). TT was the strongest individual predictor (OR = 2.73 per 1-unit), while BMI was the most significant modifiable risk factor (OR = 2.49 per 1-SD). Conclusions: A simplified "T + BMI" assessment provides comparable prognostic utility without the need for AMH testing. For patients at high risk of CC resistance, we recommend upfront use of aromatase inhibitors or low-dose gonadotropins. This strategy avoids ineffective treatment cycles and enables personalized ovulation induction. Trial registration: The study was registered on ClinicalTrials.gov under the identification number NCT01573858 on July 6, 2012.