Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42480239›Full record

Trial reportClinical nutrition (Edinburgh, Scotland)2026

Effect of moderate or high versus low dose daily vitamin D on COVID-19 incidence: A double-blind, parallel-group randomized clinical trial.

David O Meltzer, James N Moy, Andrew W Schram, Alexandra Tate, Max J Hyman, John F Cursio, Tamara Vokes, Kiang-Teck J Yeo, Micah Prochaska, Joshua J Jacobs and 1 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Clinical nutrition (Edinburgh, Scotland), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04868903 (Low vs. Moderate to High Dose Vitamin D for Prevention of COVID-19), which is not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04868903 nacompletednot on this map

Low vs. Moderate to High Dose Vitamin D for Prevention of COVID-19

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of ChicagoRan2020 to 2024Enrolled1,475ConditionsSARS-CoV-2 InfectionArmsVitamin D3
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

David O MeltzerDepartment of Medicine, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA. Electronic address: dmeltzer@bsd.uchicago.edu.
James N MoyDepartment of Internal Medicine, Rush Medical College, Chicago, IL, USA.
Andrew W SchramDepartment of Medicine, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Alexandra TateDepartment of Medicine, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Max J HymanDepartment of Medicine, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
John F CursioDepartment of Public Health Sciences, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Tamara VokesDepartment of Medicine, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Kiang-Teck J YeoDepartment of Pathology, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Micah ProchaskaDepartment of Medicine, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Joshua J JacobsDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Rush Medical College, Chicago, IL, USA.
Julian SolwayDepartment of Medicine, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.

Funding

The Institute for Translational MedicineUL1TR002389 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI Joshua J Jacobs, DAVID O MELTZER · 2017 to 2026
$71.6M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002389
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsVitamin D affects immune function and is associated with lower COVID-19 risk in observational studies. However, randomized clinical trials vary in whether they find vitamin D supplementation affects COVID-19 risk. The objective of this trial was to determine whether moderate or high dose vitamin D (4000 or 10,000 IU/day) versus low dose vitamin D (400 IU/day) affects COVID-19 risk.

methodsWe conducted a double-blind, parallel-group randomized trial (clinicaltrials.gov, NCT0486890) enrolling participants from December 5, 2020 to May 23, 2023 who chose between study branches comparing moderate versus low dose or high versus low dose vitamin D for up to 9 months and were randomized between the doses in their chosen branch. Recruitment occurred at UChicago Medicine or Rush University Medical Center. Eligibility criteria excluded persons with increased risk from vitamin D supplementation. Recruitment concluded March 30, 2023, with 955 participants randomized, and 923 continuing their participation until receipt of study vitamin D, including 324 high-versus-low branch participants. The primary outcome was time from randomization to COVID-19 infection.

resultsCOVID-19 risk was not lower for pooled moderate or high versus low dose (10.9% (50/461) versus 14.7% (68/462), aHR:0.73; 95%-CI:0.51-1.06; P = 0.10). In prespecified secondary analyses, COVID-19 risk was lower for moderate versus low dose (aHR:0.62; 95%-CI:0.39-0.99; P = 0.045) but not high versus low dose (aHR:0.99; 95%-CI:0.53-1.86; P = 0.98). Prespecified time-varying analyses controlling for post-randomization 25(OH)D levels found similar treatment effects, with no effects of 25(OH)D levels on risk. In a final prespecified analysis, among 130 seroconverting participants, COVID-19 was not reported less for pooled moderate or high versus low dose (aOR:0.62; 95%-CI:0.27-1.41; P = 0.25) and moderate versus low dose (aOR:0.37; 95%-CI:0.13-1.04; P = 0.06).

conclusionModerate or high versus low dose vitamin D supplementation did not decrease COVID-19 risk, but effects may vary by dose. Further study is warranted of the effects of higher doses and 25(OH)D levels on COVID-19 and other viral respiratory tract infections, and whether these infections become clinically evident.

trial registrationclinicaltrials.gov, NCT04868903, https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04868903.

Indexed as

COVID-19Dietary SupplementsVitamin DVitaminsAdultAgedDose-Response Relationship, DrugDouble-Blind MethodFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedSARS-CoV-2Vitamin D DeficiencyVitamin DVitaminsCOVID-19NutritionSupplementationVitamin D

Identifiers

PMID42480239
PMCPMC13392397

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.