Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42487515›Full record

Observational studyAnnals of human genetics2026

Evidence of a Protective Effect of Metformin on Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Risk: Insights From an Observational Study and Mendelian Randomisation Analysis Using Putative Metformin Targets.

Katie Louise Saxby, Svetlana Stoma, Frank Dudbridge, Nilesh J Samani, Matthew J Bown, Christopher P Nelson

Erratum issuedAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Annals of human genetics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Katie Louise SaxbyDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Svetlana StomaDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Frank DudbridgeNIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Nilesh J SamaniDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Matthew J BownDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Christopher P NelsonDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.

Funding

British Heart Foundation CD/14/2/30841British Heart Foundation CH/F/22/90014British Heart Foundation RG/18/10/33842British Heart Foundation Leicester Centre of Research Excellence RE/24/130031Medical Research Council MR/S037055/1Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 222959/Z/21/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsThere is no proven treatment to prevent the growth or rupture of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). As an aneurysm enlarges over time, the risk of fatal aortic rupture increases. Metformin, a drug usually prescribed to treat Type 2 diabetes, has previously been associated with reduced AAA risk in observational studies. Our aim was to assess whether there was a causal association between metformin treatment and AAA using Mendelian randomisation (MR).

methodsLogistic regression analysis was conducted in UK Biobank with 2972 AAA cases and 89,160 propensity-matched controls. In addition, two-sample MR analysis was performed, using a genetic proxy for metformin consisting of variants associated with both gene expression of seven metformin drug targets and decreased glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) levels. Effect sizes for HbA1c were obtained from within UK Biobank, and for AAA risk from AAAgen, a multi-ancestry meta-GWAS analysis of 39,221 cases and 1,086,107 controls.

resultsWe found evidence of a protective association between self-reported metformin treatment and reduced AAA risk in the observational analysis, OR 0.49 (95% CI: 0.41-0.59, p = 1.5 × 10

conclusionOur observational study found evidence that metformin use reduces the risk of developing AAA. The MR results support this finding, providing evidence that the association may be causal. Clinical trials are warranted to assess the efficacy of metformin to reduce the risk of aneurysm growth and rupture in people with AAA.

Indexed as

Aortic Aneurysm, AbdominalDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Hypoglycemic AgentsMetforminAgedFemaleGlycated HemoglobinHumansMaleMendelian Randomization AnalysisMiddle AgedRisk FactorsGlycated HemoglobinHypoglycemic AgentsMetforminabdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA)Mendelian randomisationmetformin

Identifiers

PMID42487515
PMCPMC13460526

What Socratic holds

Texttitle and abstract
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.