Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42495537›Full record

ArticleiScience2026

Age-sex-specific risk and burden of fall injury incidence associated with ambient temperature in China: A case-crossover study with 4.19 million cases.

Guanhao He, Yuliang Er, Weiquan Zeng, Jiamei Zeng, Yuan Wang, Xiao Deng, Tao Liu, Jianxiong Hu, Qijiong Zhu, Ye Jin and 6 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in iScience, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Guanhao HeDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.
Yuliang ErDivision of Injury Prevention and Mental Health, National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Weiquan ZengDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.
Jiamei ZengDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.
Yuan WangDivision of Injury Prevention and Mental Health, National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Xiao DengDivision of Injury Prevention and Mental Health, National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Tao LiuDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.
Jianxiong HuDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.
Qijiong ZhuDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.
Ye JinDivision of Injury Prevention and Mental Health, National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Cuirong JiDivision of Injury Prevention and Mental Health, National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Ziqiang LinDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.
Fengrui JingDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.
Leilei DuanDivision of Injury Prevention and Mental Health, National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Pengpeng YeDivision of Injury Prevention and Mental Health, National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Wenjun MaDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Fall injury poses considerable disease burden. However, limited studies investigated the age-sex-specific risk and burden of fall injury associated with ambient temperature. A time-stratified case-crossover study with 4.19 million fall injury cases from the National Injury Surveillance System was conducted in China. We identified a U-shaped relationship between temperature and fall injury in the total population, with higher risk from heat than cold. There were significant age-sex-specific disparities in temperature-related fall injury risk, with diminished heat effects and increased cold effects as age rises, particularly among females. Ambient temperature exhibited a substantial burden on fall injuries, with much higher burden associated with heat than with cold across almost all age groups. Compared to the 2020s, our projections indicate a 1.22-fold increase in heat-related attributable fraction (AF) and a 0.38-fold decrease in cold-related AF under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. These findings can guide injury prevention and control strategies in the context of climate change.

Indexed as

age-sex disparityfall injuryglobal warmingtemperature

Identifiers

PMID42495537
PMCPMC13392952

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.