ArticleJournal of diabetes2026
Serum 1,5-Anhydroglucitol Identifies Residual Mortality Risk Beyond Time in Range in Type 2 Diabetes: A Cohort Study.
Article in Journal of diabetes, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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10 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundThe combined prognostic value of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) metrics and circulating glucose biomarkers for predicting mortality in type 2 diabetes has not been fully established, particularly regarding residual risk in patients achieving glycemic targets.
methodsThis cohort study included 3677 patients with type 2 diabetes for a median of 7.4 years follow-up. Cox proportional hazards models evaluated the associations of baseline CGM-derived time in range (TIR) (target 70%) and serum 1,5-anhydroglucitol (1,5-AG) (threshold 6.0 μg/mL) with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the overall population. We further examined the relationship between 1,5-AG and mortality within TIR subgroups and compared its performance with metrics of glycemic variability derived from CGM.
resultsDuring follow-up, 522 all-cause deaths and 181 cardiovascular deaths occurred. TIR and 1,5-AG were moderately correlated and independently predicted mortality, with concurrent low TIR (≤ 70%) and low 1,5-AG (< 6.0 μg/mL) yielding the highest risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.82, 95% CI 1.40-2.37). In stratified analyses, reduced 1,5-AG was significantly associated with increased mortality risk in patients with TIR > 70% (HR 1.69, 95% CI 1.25-2.28), whereas no significant association was observed in those with TIR ≤ 70%. Adding 1,5-AG improved traditional risk prediction in the former subgroup. Compared with 1,5-AG, CGM-derived glycemic variability indices such as mean amplitude of glycemic excursions, coefficient of variation, and standard deviation of glucose showed no significant association with mortality.
conclusionsTIR and serum 1,5-AG offer independent and complementary value, with low 1,5-AG identifying residual mortality risk despite achieving TIR targets.
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