Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42560581›Full record

ArticleClinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico2026

Prognostic value of post-neoadjuvant pathological response and residual disease in early breast cancer: a real-world cohort study.

Antonella Ferro, Michela Campora, Claudio Eccher, Martina Lorenzi, Roberta Biondi, Alessia Caldara, Sara Cantarelli, Monica Campregher, Giuseppe Carbone, Delia De Lisi and 8 more

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In one paragraph

Article in Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Antonella FerroRete Clinica Senologica, ASUIT, Trento, Italy. antonella.ferro@asuit.tn.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4109-6769
Michela CamporaPathology Department, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Claudio EccherDigital Health & Wellbeing Center, Fondazione Bruno Kessler, Trento, Italy.
Martina LorenziMedical Oncology Unit, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Roberta BiondiMedical Oncology Unit, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Alessia CaldaraMedical Oncology Unit, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Sara CantarelliRete Clinica Senologica, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Monica CampregherRete Clinica Senologica, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Giuseppe CarboneNuclear Medicine Division, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Delia De LisiMedical Oncology Unit, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Mariachiara DipasqualeMedical Oncology Unit, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Silvia LazzeriRete Clinica Senologica, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Sara MonteverdiMedical Oncology Unit, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Giulia ArmaturaDivision of Breast Surgery, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Fiorenza De RoseRadiation Oncology Unit; ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Stefania GoriMedical Oncology Unit, IRCCS Sacro Cuore Don Calabria, 37024 Negrar Di Valpolicella, Verona, Italy.
Marvi ValentiniBreast Imaging and Mammography Screening Service, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.
Orazio CaffoMedical Oncology Unit, ASUIT, Trento, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNeoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) enables tumor downstaging and assessment of response in early breast cancer (EBC). Pathological complete response (pCR) predicts favorable outcomes, but patients with residual disease are heterogeneous, and the prognostic value of residual tumor biology remains incompletely defined.

methodsWe retrospectively analyzed 586 patients with EBC treated with NAC between 2000 and 2021. Baseline clinical, pathological, and treatment-related variables-including residual disease characteristics-were collected. The primary endpoints were pCR and long-term outcomes. Event-free survival (EFS), relapse-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier curves and compared with log-rank tests. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression identified independent predictors of pCR and survival.

resultsOverall, 36.3% of patients achieved pCR, highest in HER2-positive (48.6%) and triple-negative tumors (45%). HER2-low/negative status, HR positivity, higher T stage, and lower Ki-67 independently reduced the likelihood of pCR. At a median follow-up of 88 months, patients achieving pCR had superior 7-year outcomes (EFS 86.5% vs 71.6%, RFS 91.1% vs 74.7%, OS 94.9% vs 81.7%; all p < 0.001). Among patients with residual disease, higher nodal burden (ypN2), high post-treatment Ki-67 (> 20%), residual HER2 positivity, and residual Hormone receptor (HR) negativity were independent predictors of poorer outcomes. No baseline or residual characteristics independently affected survival in patients achieving pCR.

conclusionpCR strongly predicts long-term outcomes, particularly in aggressive subtypes. Among patients with residual disease, higher nodal burden (ypN2), high post-treatment Ki-67 (> 20%), residual HR negativity, and residual HER2 positivity were independent predictors of poorer outcomes, supporting biologically informed risk stratification beyond pCR.

Indexed as

Early breast cancerNeoadjuvant chemotherapyPathological complete responseResidual diseaseSurvival outcomes

Identifiers

PMID42560581

What Socratic holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.