Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42571245›Full record

ArticleEvolution letters2026

Additive effects of environmental and demographic variation shape the repeatability of evolution across replicated experiments.

Karen Bisschop, Meike T Wortel, Ken Kraaijeveld, Janine Mariën, Isabel Rathmann, Dries Bonte, Steven Declerck, Marjon de Vos, Rampal S Etienne, Steven Goossens and 12 more

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Article in Evolution letters, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Karen BisschopInstitute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7083-2636
Meike T WortelOrigins Center, The Netherlands.
Ken KraaijeveldOrigins Center, The Netherlands.
Janine MariënAmsterdam Institute for Life and Environment, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Isabel RathmannInstitute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Dries BonteTerrestrial Ecology Unit, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
Steven DeclerckDepartment of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Marjon de VosGroningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Rampal S EtienneGroningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Steven GoossensTerrestrial Ecology Unit, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
Jan KammengaLaboratory of Nematology, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4822-4436
Frederik MortierTerrestrial Ecology Unit, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
Joost RiksenLaboratory of Nematology, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Maurijn van der ZeeInstitute of Biology, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Koen VerhoevenDepartment of Terrestrial Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3002-4102
Suzanne WiezerDepartment of Aquatic Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Lars ZandbergenGroningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Martijn EgasInstitute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Jacintha EllersAmsterdam Institute for Life and Environment, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2665-1971
Astrid T GrootInstitute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Marcel E VisserDepartment of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Thomas BlankersInstitute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The repeatability of evolution is fundamentally important for understanding the origin and diversification of life as well as for developing evolutionary forecasting tools. Repeatability is limited by stochasticity, here defined as changes that are independent of genotypic fitness effects. Over short timescales, the two main sources of stochasticity of evolutionary change are environmental stochasticity and demographic (life-history) stochasticity. Quantifying the effect of these two sources of stochasticity and how they interact in driving fitness outcomes is crucially important for predicting contemporary evolutionary responses. To gain insights in the effects of stochasticity, five institutes replicated an evolutionary experiment exposing

Indexed as

caenorhabditis elegansevolutionary predictabilitymicrobiomenatural selectionreplicability

Identifiers

PMID42571245
PMCPMC13451772

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.