Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42572075›Full record

ArticleGastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association2026

Baseline IL-6 independently predicts severe immune-related toxicity and poor survival in advanced gastric cancer treated with immunotherapy.

Wanrong Liu, Hui Tang, Ningning Li, Wei Qiu, Xiaoyuan Li, Lin Zhao

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Article in Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Wanrong Liu *Department of Medical Oncology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Hui Tang *Department of Medical Oncology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Ningning LiDepartment of Medical Oncology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Wei QiuDepartment of Medical Oncology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Xiaoyuan LiDepartment of Medical Oncology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Lin ZhaoDepartment of Medical Oncology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China. zhaolin4412@pumch.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1700-9549

Funding

Institute of Chinese Materia Medica, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College 2024-I2M-ZD-001Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2022-PUMCH-D-001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundImmune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) improve survival in advanced gastric cancer (GC), yet predicting therapeutic benefit versus toxicity remains challenging. Elevated interleukin-6 (IL-6) is linked to poor prognosis, but whether it simultaneously influences immune-related adverse events (irAEs) and how this relationship impacts survival remains unclear.

methodsWe retrospectively analyzed 244 patients with advanced GC treated with ICIs. Predictors of high-grade irAEs were evaluated using Firth's penalized logistic regression to mitigate small-sample bias. Independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) were identified via multivariable Cox analysis and validated using propensity score matching (PSM). Causal mediation analysis was performed to assess whether the effect of IL-6 on OS was mediated through irAEs. Biological mechanisms were explored using TCGA-STAD transcriptomic data.

resultsBaseline IL-6 was a strong independent predictor of high-grade irAEs (OR = 2.74, P < 0.001) and inferior OS (P = 0.019), a finding confirmed after PSM. Mediation analysis did not demonstrate a statistically significant mediating effect of irAEs on the relationship between IL-6 and survival. Bioinformatic validation linked high IL-6 expression to hyper-inflammatory signaling (TNF/IL-17 pathways) and immunosuppressive M2 macrophage infiltration.

conclusionBaseline IL-6 was independently associated with both severe immune-related toxicity and inferior overall survival, suggesting that elevated systemic IL-6 reflects an adverse inflammatory state in which toxicity does not necessarily correspond to improved therapeutic outcomes. These findings support further evaluation of IL-6 in risk stratification and warrant prospective investigation into its potential therapeutic modulation in combination with ICIs.

Indexed as

Drug-Related Side Effects and Adverse ReactionsImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsImmunotherapyInterleukin-6Stomach NeoplasmsAgedBiomarkers, TumorFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSurvival RateBiomarkers, TumorIL6 protein, humanImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsInterleukin-6Gastric cancerIL-6Immune checkpoint inhibitorsImmune-related adverse eventsMediation analysisSurvivalTumor microenvironment

Identifiers

PMID42572075

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.