Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42579646›Full record

ArticlePLoS medicine2026

Short-term risk of falls among initiators of controlled-release tapentadol versus oxycodone in New South Wales between 2014 and 2020: A population-based retrospective cohort study.

Ximena Camacho, Andrea L Schaffer, Jonathan Brett, Ria Hopkins, Natasa Gisev, Steven Marsh, Kristian B Filion, Nicole Pratt, David Henry, Sallie-Anne Pearson

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Ximena CamachoCentre of Research Excellence in Medicines Intelligence, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2371-1441
Andrea L SchafferSchool of Population Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3701-4997
Jonathan BrettCentre of Research Excellence in Medicines Intelligence, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3065-7495
Ria HopkinsSchool of Population Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Natasa GisevSchool of Population Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Steven MarshCentre of Research Excellence in Medicines Intelligence, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Kristian B FilionCentre for Clinical Epidemiology, Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Montreal, Québec, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6055-0088
Nicole PrattSchool of Population Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8730-8910
David HenrySchool of Population Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2934-2242
Sallie-Anne PearsonCentre of Research Excellence in Medicines Intelligence, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7137-6855

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundClinical trials comparing sustained-release (SR) tapentadol with controlled-release (CR) oxycodone have suggested that tapentadol (SR) may be associated with fewer nervous system side effects. However, it remains important to evaluate the relative safety of these agents in real-world clinical settings. Given the potential severity and economic burden of falls, together with their established association with opioid use, we compared the short-term risk of falls following initiation of tapentadol (SR) versus oxycodone (CR) in routine clinical practice. METHODS AND

findingsWe conducted an active comparator, new user retrospective cohort study using linked routinely collected health data on residents of New South Wales, Australia (2014-2020). We included people aged ≥18 years initiating publicly subsidised tapentadol (SR) or oxycodone (CR). Our outcome was a composite measure of fall-related emergency department presentations, hospitalisations or deaths. We used propensity score matching to adjust for baseline confounding and approximated relative risks (RR) of falls at 7, 14, and 28 days after initiation using conditional logistic regression models. We calculated absolute risk differences and estimated the number of people that would need to be treated with oxycodone (CR) versus tapentadol (SR) for one additional fall to occur (NNTH). We conducted subgroup analyses restricted to people aged ≥65 and ≥80 years and by recent opioid exposure (within 90 days prior to initiation). We identified 103,924 tapentadol (SR) and 419,732 oxycodone (CR) initiators; after matching each cohort comprised 103,758 initiators. Most people (74%) were aged between 45 and 84 years, and slightly more than half were female. Within 28 days of initiation, 652 (0.6%) oxycodone (CR) initiators and 457 (0.4%) tapentadol initiators experienced a fall. Across all time points, tapentadol (SR) initiation was associated with a lower risk of falls compared with oxycodone (CR) (7 days: RR 0.57 [95% CI: 0.48, 0.69]; 14 days: RR 0.62 [95% CI: 0.54, 0.71]; 28 days: RR 0.70 [95% CI: 0.62, 0.79]). Absolute differences were small at all time points (approximately 1-2 fewer falls per 1,000 patients treated), corresponding to NNTH for one additional fall ranging from 739 to 529. These patterns persisted regardless of recent opioid exposure. Relative risks were similar in the older age groups while absolute differences were slightly larger (≥65 years: 2-3 fewer falls/1,000; ≥80 years: 4-8 fewer falls/1,000). The greatest absolute differences were among opioid-naïve people aged ≥80 years (6-10 fewer falls/1,000, corresponding to NNTH ranging from 173 to 97). Fall risks were attenuated among people aged ≥80 years with recent opioid exposure. The main limitations of this study were that we did not have data on immediate-release tapentadol, or on falls that did not result in emergency department presentations or hospitalisations but may have otherwise impacted independence and mobility.

conclusionsTapentadol (SR) was associated with a lower risk of falls than oxycodone (CR) up to four weeks after initiation, although absolute differences were small. The reduction in risk may be an important consideration in older patients where the consequences of falls are most severe.

Indexed as

Accidental FallsAnalgesics, OpioidOxycodoneTapentadolAdultAgedAged, 80 and overDelayed-Action PreparationsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNew South WalesRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsYoung AdultAnalgesics, OpioidDelayed-Action PreparationsOxycodoneTapentadol

Identifiers

PMID42579646
PMCPMC13460682

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.