Evidence mapPaperPMID 42583057Full record

ArticleJournal of thoracic disease2026

Novel nomogram for predicting acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery.

Xiaoxia Zhou, Zhance Li, Qi Gao, Shui Yu, Xiaofeng Hu, Yuanyuan Yao

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Article in Journal of thoracic disease, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Xiaoxia ZhouDepartment of Anesthesiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Zhance LiDepartment of Anesthesiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Qi GaoDepartment of Anesthesiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Shui YuDepartment of Anesthesiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Xiaofeng HuDepartment of Anesthesiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Yuanyuan YaoDepartment of Anesthesiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and serious complication after cardiac surgery, significantly impacting patient outcomes and healthcare systems. This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting postoperative AKI in adults undergoing elective cardiac valve and coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Methods: A clinical prediction study was conducted. The primary outcome was the occurrence of postoperative AKI. Potential predictors analyzed included demographic characteristics, comorbidities, preoperative laboratory values, anticoagulant medication usage, and intraoperative factors (transfusion volume, transfusion incidence, cardiopulmonary bypass duration, surgery type, perioperative bleeding). Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors in a training cohort, and a nomogram was constructed. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and validated in an independent cohort. Results: Multivariable analysis identified older age [odds ratio (OR) =1.03; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02-1.04], preoperative hemoglobin (OR =0.98; 95% CI: 0.98-0.98), creatinine (OR =1.03; 95% CI: 1.02-1.03), higher intraoperative red blood cell transfusion volume (OR =1.07; 95% CI: 1.02-1.12), and increased perioperative bleeding (OR =1.00; 95% CI: 1.00-1.00) as independent predictors of AKI. This predictive nomogram demonstrated good discriminatory ability, with an AUC of 0.880 (95% CI: 0.867-0.894) in the training cohort and an AUC of 0.883 (95% CI: 0.863-0.904) in the internal validation cohort, and an AUC of 0.690 (95% CI: 0.671-0.709) in the external validation set. Conclusions: A nomogram incorporating five readily available clinical variables effectively predicts the risk of postoperative AKI in adults undergoing elective cardiac valve and bypass surgery. This tool may assist in preoperative risk stratification and guide perioperative management strategies.

Indexed as

Acute kidney injury (AKI)cardiac surgeryoutcomepredictive modelrisk stratification

Identifiers

PMID42583057
PMCPMC13460062

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.