Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42638889›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in medicine2026

Biomarker-integrated machine learning models for predicting treatment-related bowel dysfunction after rectal cancer surgery: a multicenter development and external validation study.

Qiyuan Liu, Yunxin Liu, Yuxiang Huang, Yuchen Fu, Minglian Ouyang, Tao Liu, Jiahao Rao, Zihao Xia, Xinxin Liu, Zhixin Zeng and 3 more

Abstract read
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Article in Frontiers in medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Qiyuan LiuDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, First Affiliated Hospital of Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, China.
Yunxin LiuSchool of Information and Software Engineering, East China Jiaotong University, Nanchang, China.
Yuxiang HuangDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Anyang Regional Hospital, Puyang, China.
Yuchen FuSchool of Nursing, Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, China.
Minglian OuyangDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, First Affiliated Hospital of Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, China.
Tao LiuDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, First Affiliated Hospital of Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, China.
Jiahao RaoDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, First Affiliated Hospital of Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, China.
Zihao XiaFirst School of Clinical Medicine, Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, China.
Xinxin LiuFirst School of Clinical Medicine, Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, China.
Zhixin ZengFirst School of Clinical Medicine, Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, China.
Junlin ZengNanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Xiangfu ZengDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, First Affiliated Hospital of Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, China.
Shufeng ZhaoDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, First Affiliated Hospital of Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Low anterior resection syndrome (LARS) is a prevalent treatment-related complication following sphincter-preserving surgery for rectal cancer that severely impairs survivors' quality of life. In the era of biomarker-driven personalized cancer therapy, reliable tools integrating clinicopathological biomarkers for individualized risk stratification remain lacking. Machine learning (ML) approaches offer the potential to integrate heterogeneous biomarkers-including nutritional, inflammatory, and treatment-related indicators-for precision prediction, yet their comparative performance against conventional nomograms in LARS prediction has not been rigorously evaluated in multicenter settings. Methods: This multicenter retrospective cohort included 906 patients undergoing laparoscopic low anterior resection for rectal adenocarcinoma, with 506 in the training cohort and 400 from four hospitals for external validation. Major LARS was defined as a 6-month LARS score ≥ 21. LASSO selected features from 24 candidate variables. Five machine-learning models and a logistic regression nomogram were evaluated using AUC, calibration, decision curve analysis, and SHAP interpretation. Results: The incidence of major LARS was 48.0% (243/506) in the training cohort and 52.2% (209/400) in the validation cohort. LASSO regression selected 14 predictive biomarkers, including preoperative serum albumin, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and preoperative radiotherapy. In external validation, the random forest model achieved the highest AUC of 0.903 (sensitivity 0.871, specificity 0.796), followed by the logistic regression nomogram (AUC 0.888). Multivariate analysis identified tumor-anal verge distance (OR = 0.733, 95% CI 0.679-0.792, Conclusion: The random forest model integrating clinicopathological biomarkers and treatment-related variables demonstrated robust predictive performance for postoperative or post-treatment risk stratification of treatment-related bowel dysfunction (LARS). The model is intended to support postoperative monitoring, survivorship counseling, and rehabilitation planning rather than purely preoperative treatment selection. These biomarker-driven prediction tools can facilitate individualized functional-risk assessment in rectal cancer patients undergoing multimodal therapy.

Indexed as

biomarker-driven predictionclinical biomarkersexternal validationlow anterior resection syndromemachine learningmulticenter studypersonalized cancer therapyrectal cancer

Identifiers

PMID42638889
PMCPMC13500297

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.