Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42707515›Full record

ArticleERJ open research2026

Beyond random variation: Monte Carlo analysis and predictability of COPD exacerbations.

Surya P Bhatt, Sandeep Bodduluri, Abdulhakim Tlimat, Arie Nakhmani, Mohsen Sadatsafavi

Abstract readLetter
In one paragraph

Article in ERJ open research, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Surya P BhattCenter for Lung Analytics and Imaging Research, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8418-4497
Sandeep BodduluriCenter for Lung Analytics and Imaging Research, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA.
Abdulhakim TlimatDivision of Pulmonary, Allergy and Critical Care Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA.
Arie NakhmaniCenter for Lung Analytics and Imaging Research, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA.
Mohsen SadatsafaviRespiratory Evaluation Sciences Program, Collaboration for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Faculty of Pharmaceutical Sciences, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0419-7862

Funding

Genetic Epidemiology of COPDU01HL089897 · NHLBI · NATIONAL JEWISH HEALTH · PI CRAPO, JAMES D · 2007 to 2021
$56.9M
GENETIC EPIDEMIOLOGY OF COPD (COPD GENE) TASK A: STUDY VISIT 4, COLLECTION OF COPDGENE STUDY DATA ANDBIOSPECIMENS AND OVERSIGHT OF THE COPDGENE STUDY75N92023D00011 · NHLBI · NATIONAL JEWISH HEALTH · PI NEWMAN, LEE S · 2023 to 2025
$29.6M
Genetic Epidemiology of COPDU01HL089856 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI SILVERMAN, EDWIN K · 2007 to 2021
$20.7M
1/2 Video Telehealth Pulmonary Rehabilitation to Reduce Hospital Readmission in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (Tele-COPD)UH3HL155806 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI Surya P Bhatt · 2022 to 2026
$5.4M
Structural Determinants of Disease Progression in COPDR01HL151421 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI BHATT, SURYA P., NAKHMANI, ARIE · 2020 to 2024
$2.6M
Silent Zones of Lung Disease in COPDK01HL163249 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI Sandeep Bodduluri · 2023 to 2026
$674k
NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92023D00011NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL163249NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL151421NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL089856NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL089897NHLBI NIH HHS UH3 HL155806
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

PubMed holds no abstract for this paper.

Identifiers

PMID42707515
PMCPMC13548451

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.