Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42778329›Full record

ArticleRMD open2026

Association between initial treatment strategy and progression to difficult-to-treat rheumatoid arthritis (D2T-RA): evidence from a 20-year-old real-world cohort.

Cécile Van Mullem, Francesco Natalucci, Alexandra Avramovska, Tatiana Sokolova, Clément Triaille, Patrick Durez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in RMD open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Cécile Van MullemRheumatology Department, Cliniques universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0009-4542-1048
Francesco NatalucciRheumatology Department, Cliniques universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium.
Alexandra AvramovskaRheumatology Department, Cliniques universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium.
Tatiana SokolovaPôle de pathologies rhumatismales systémiques et inflammatoires (RUMA), Institut de Recherche Expérimentale et Clinique (IREC), Université catholique de Louvain, Brussels, Belgium.
Clément TriailleRheumatology Department, Cliniques universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium.
Patrick DurezRheumatology Department, Cliniques universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium patrick.durez@saintluc.uclouvain.be.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

objectivesDespite major advances in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) management, a substantial proportion of patients evolve to difficult-to-treat RA (D2T-RA). We estimated the probability of progression to D2T-RA and assessed whether the initial choice of biological/targeted synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (b/tsDMARDs) is associated with this risk.

methodsWe retrospectively analysed 675 patients with established RA from the first consultation through all b/tsDMARD lines to the last follow-up or D2T-RA classification. Kaplan-Meier, log-rank and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with D2T-RA progression.

resultsOf the 675 patients (mean follow-up of 217.1±131.16 months), 126 (18.7%) fulfilled the D2T-RA criteria. Tumour necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) accounted for most first-line and second-line treatments (81.0% and 53.2%). In the post-2000 subcohort (498 patients), no significant difference in D2T-RA risk was observed between TNFi and non-TNFi starters nor between TNFi-cycling or other mechanism of action (MoA)-switching strategies. Glucocorticoid exposure was independently associated with increased risk (HR 2.47, 95% CI 1.38 to 4.42) and delayed b/tsDMARD initiation with decreased hazard (HR 0.990, 95% CI 0.98 to 0.996).

conclusionIn this observational cohort, initial MoA choice was not associated with D2T-RA progression. Disease severity markers appeared more prominent than treatment strategies in driving refractory evolution. Validation in a prospective/randomised setting is required before potential transition into clinical practice.

Indexed as

Antirheumatic AgentsArthritis, RheumatoidAdultAgedDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesTreatment OutcomeTumor Necrosis Factor-alphaAntirheumatic AgentsTumor Necrosis Factor-alphaArthritis, RheumatoidTreatmentTumor Necrosis Factor Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID42778329
PMCPMC13629959

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.