Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42819553›Full record

ArticleHealth science reports2026

Temporal and Regional Trends in Cardiovascular Mortality Associated With Diabetes Mellitus: A Nationwide Analysis From 1999 to 2020 in the United States.

Shahzaib Ahmed, Sophia Ahmed, Eeman Ahmad, Hamza Ashraf, Umar Akram, Shoaib Ahmad, Olivier Uwishema, Ibrahim Nagmeldin Hassan, Irfan Ullah, Fateen Ata and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health science reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Shahzaib AhmedDepartment of Medicine Fatima Memorial Hospital College of Medicine and Dentistry Lahore Pakistan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9374-927X
Sophia AhmedDepartment of Medicine Allama Iqbal Medical College Lahore Pakistan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0002-2613-0332
Eeman AhmadDepartment of Medicine Fatima Memorial Hospital College of Medicine and Dentistry Lahore Pakistan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3474-8087
Hamza AshrafDepartment of Medicine Allama Iqbal Medical College Lahore Pakistan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0007-9121-6091
Umar AkramDepartment of Medicine Allama Iqbal Medical College Lahore Pakistan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0001-0981-6650
Shoaib AhmadSt. Joseph Hospital and Medical Center Phoenix Arizona USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7241-7724
Olivier UwishemaDepartment of Research and Education Oli Health Magazine Organization Kigali Rwanda.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0692-9027
Ibrahim Nagmeldin HassanUniversity of Khartoum Faculty of Medicine Khartoum Sudan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-3331-8138
Irfan UllahDepartment of Internal Medicine Khyber Teaching Hospital Peshawar Pakistan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1100-101X
Fateen AtaCleveland Clinic Foundation Ohio USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7121-8574
Ameer Haider CheemaUniversity of Texas Southwestern Dallas Texas USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0002-2508-4370
Chadi AlraiesDepartment of Cardiology Detroit Medical Center Detroit Michigan USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7874-4566
Gregg C FonarowDivision of Cardiology University of California Los Angeles California USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3192-8093

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a major global health concern and a significant risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), a leading cause of mortality worldwide. Individuals with diabetes face a two-to-four-fold higher risk of CVD-related death compared to the general population. This study aims to evaluate national trends in CVD mortality among diabetic patients in the United States from 1999 to 2020. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis using CDC WONDER death certificate data. Deaths were identified using ICD-10 codes I00-I99 (CVD) as the underlying cause and E10-E14 (DM) as multiple causes of death. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were calculated per 100,000 population using the 2000 US standard population. Trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression, with annual percentage changes (APCs) and average annual percentage changes reported across demographic subgroups. Results: From 1999 to 2020, 1,854,384 CVD deaths occurred among individuals with DM (AAMR: 25.06). Mortality rates declined significantly from 1999 to 2012 (APC: -2.64*) and stabilized until 2018, followed by a sharp increase from 2018 to 2020 (APC: 6.94*). Males, NH Black or African Americans, and residents in rural and Southern states exhibited higher AAMRs. Regional and racial disparities were evident, with Oklahoma and Mississippi showing the highest state-level mortality rates. Mortality trends for CVD with DM differed significantly from those for CVD alone across all demographic strata ( Conclusion: While CVD mortality among diabetic patients initially declined, recent increases signal a concerning reversal. These findings highlight the urgent need for targeted public health interventions and equitable care strategies to address persistent disparities.

Indexed as

cardiovascular disordersdiabetes mellitusepidemiologymortality

Identifiers

PMID42819553
PMCPMC13624380

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.