Trial reportThe Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism2022

Weight Loss, Lifestyle Intervention, and Metformin Affect Longitudinal Relationship of Insulin Secretion and Sensitivity.

Elsa Vazquez Arreola, William C Knowler, Robert L Hanson

Open access · greenAbstract readClinical Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism, 2022. The graph read 4 numbers from its abstract, feeding 2 cells of the map, but none could be read as for or against, so it casts no vote. It also reports 4 associations that do not count as treatment evidence, such as HR 0.71 (0.61 to 0.82) for diabetes risk. Cited by 6 papers.

4numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

Read, but not usablea number the graph found but could not read as for or against

Diabetes riskweight loss (per 5 kg) vs no weight loss / baselinean association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · t2d, obesityfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.710.61 to 0.82
In time-dependent hazard models, increasing compensatory insulin secretion (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.166 per baseline SD, 95% CI 0.133, 0.206) and weight loss (HR = 0.710 per 5 kg loss, 95% CI 0.613, 0.819) predicted lower diabetes risk.
Secretory demandweight loss (per 5 kg) vs no weight loss / baselinean association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · t2d, obesityfeeds one cell of the map
Δ -0.14-0.16 to -0.13
Improvements were directly related to weight loss; decreased weight significantly reduced secretory demand (b=-0.144 SD; 95% CI (-0.162, -0.125)/5 kg loss) and increased compensatory insulin secretion (b = 0.287 SD, 95% CI (0.261, 0.314)/5 kg loss).
Compensatory insulin secretionweight loss (per 5 kg) vs no weight loss / baselinean association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · t2d, obesityfeeds one cell of the map
Δ 0.290.26 to 0.31
Improvements were directly related to weight loss; decreased weight significantly reduced secretory demand (b=-0.144 SD; 95% CI (-0.162, -0.125)/5 kg loss) and increased compensatory insulin secretion (b = 0.287 SD, 95% CI (0.261, 0.314)/5 kg loss).
Diabetes riskincreasing compensatory insulin secretion (per baseline SD) vs lower compensatory insulin secretionan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · t2d, obesityfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.170.13 to 0.21
In time-dependent hazard models, increasing compensatory insulin secretion (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.166 per baseline SD, 95% CI 0.133, 0.206) and weight loss (HR = 0.710 per 5 kg loss, 95% CI 0.613, 0.819) predicted lower diabetes risk.

clause the extractor read what became the number

2 · Its place on the map

Where it lands on the map

Rows are treatments, columns are outcomes. The coloured squares are the cells this paper feeds, coloured by the vote it casts there. Click one to jump to what this paper adds to it.

supports the treatmentfavours the comparatorno clear differenceread, but no usable result
3 · What it changes

What it adds to each cell

For every cell the paper feeds: the belief in the claim with and without this paper, and this paper's estimate drawn against every other readable study in the cell. The ringed dot is this paper.

Insulin×glycemic control

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

40 readable studies in this cell: 13 favour the treatment, 14 find no difference, 14 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.50contested · 9 families support, 6 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the comparatorfavours the treatment →
0 · no effect
NCT036893742,274 enrolled · 2018
Δ -0.29-0.38 to -0.20
NCT037306622,002 enrolled · 2018
Δ -0.99-1.13 to -0.86
NCT013360231,663 enrolled · 2011
Treatment contrast -0.64-0.75 to -0.53
NCT038829701,444 enrolled · 2019
Δ -0.86-1.00 to -0.72
NCT045379231,428 enrolled · 2020
Δ -1.10-1.24 to -0.97
NCT032680051,264 enrolled · 2017
Δ -0.04-0.11 to 0.03
NCT020581471,170 enrolled · 2014
Δ -0.78-0.90 to -0.67
NCT021289321,089 enrolled · 2014
Δ -0.81-0.96 to -0.67
NCT009606611,036 enrolled · 2009
Δ -0.04-0.18 to 0.11
NCT00856986987 enrolled · 2009
Δ -0.52-0.68 to -0.36
NCT01117350978 enrolled · 2010
Δ 2.54-3.88 to 8.93
NCT03214380933 enrolled · 2017
Δ 0.06-0.05 to 0.16

This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.

Insulin×body weight & composition

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

11 readable studies in this cell: 1 favour the treatment, 1 find no difference, 9 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.00contested · 0 families support, 2 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the comparatorfavours the treatment →
0 · no effect
NCT037306622,002 enrolled · 2018
Δ -9.00-9.80 to -8.30
NCT038829701,444 enrolled · 2019
Δ -9.80-10.8 to -8.80
NCT045379231,428 enrolled · 2020
Δ -10.7-11.5 to -9.90
NCT020581471,170 enrolled · 2014
Δ 40.633.6 to 47.6
NCT04093752917 enrolled · 2019
Δ -6.50-7.40 to -5.60
NCT01768559894 enrolled · 2013
Δ -1.99-2.59 to -1.40
NCT01075282810 enrolled · 2010
Δ 2.832.33 to 3.33
NCT02551874650 enrolled · 2015
Δ -3.64-4.20 to -3.09

This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.

4 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

5 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Effects of theBMJ open diabetes research & care · 2023
    Article
  5. Observational
  6. Article
6 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

7 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Elsa Vazquez ArreolaPhoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Branch, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Phoenix, AZ 85014, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1960-1159
William C KnowlerPhoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Branch, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Phoenix, AZ 85014, USA.
Robert L HansonPhoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Branch, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Phoenix, AZ 85014, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4252-7068
National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases · US

Funding

NIDDK
8 · The paper itself

Abstract

The marked sentences are the ones the graph read a number from.

contextInsulin secretion and sensitivity regulate glycemia, with inadequately compensated deficiencies leading to diabetes.

objectiveWe investigated effects of weight loss, an intensive lifestyle intervention (ILS), and metformin on the relationship between insulin secretion and sensitivity using repository data from 2931 participants in the Diabetes Prevention Program clinical trial in adults at high risk of developing type 2 diabetes.

methodsInsulin secretion and sensitivity were estimated from insulin and glucose concentrations in fasting and 30-minute postload serum samples at baseline and 1, 2, and 3 years after randomization, during the active intervention phase. The nonlinear relationship of secretion and sensitivity was evaluated by standardized major axis regression to account for variability in both variables. Insulin secretory demand and compensatory insulin secretion were characterized by distances along and away from the regression line, respectively.

resultsILS and metformin decreased secretory demand while increasing compensatory insulin secretion, with greater effects of ILS. Improvements were directly related to weight loss; decreased weight significantly reduced secretory demand (b=-0.144 SD; 95% CI (-0.162, -0.125)/5 kg loss) and increased compensatory insulin secretion (b = 0.287 SD, 95% CI (0.261, 0.314)/5 kg loss). In time-dependent hazard models, increasing compensatory insulin secretion (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.166 per baseline SD, 95% CI 0.133, 0.206) and weight loss (HR = 0.710 per 5 kg loss, 95% CI 0.613, 0.819) predicted lower diabetes risk.

conclusionDiabetes risk reduction was directly related to the amount of weight loss, an effect mediated by lowered insulin secretory demand (due to increased insulin sensitivity) coupled with improved compensatory insulin secretion.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2MetforminAdultBlood GlucoseHumansHypoglycemic AgentsInsulinInsulin SecretionLife StyleWeight LossBlood GlucoseHypoglycemic AgentsInsulinMetforminbeta-cell functioninsulin secretion in vivolifestyle interventionmetformintime-dependent associationstype 2 diabetesweight loss

Identifiers

PMID36062951
PMCPMC9923796
OpenAlexW4294669694

What Socratic holds

Texttitle and abstract
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.