Evidence mapPaperPMID 39536238Full record

Trial reportThe New England journal of medicine2025

Tirzepatide for Obesity Treatment and Diabetes Prevention.

Ania M Jastreboff, Carel W le Roux, Adam Stefanski, Louis J Aronne, Bruno Halpern, Sean Wharton, John P H Wilding, Leigh Perreault, Shuyu Zhang, Ramakrishna Battula and 4 more

4 registry-linked trialsAbstract readRandomized Controlled TrialClinical Trial, Phase IIIMulticenter Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Trial report in The New England journal of medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It reports registered trial NCT04184622. Cited by 201 papers, 13 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
201citing papers in PubMed, 13 pooled it
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04184622 phase3completed

Efficacy and Safety of Tirzepatide Once Weekly in Participants Without Type 2 Diabetes Who Have Obesity or Are Overweight With Weight- Related Comorbidities: A Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Trial (SURMOUNT-1)

Ran2019Enrolled2,539Registered outcomes26Posted comparisons49ConditionsObesity, OverweightArmsPlacebo, Tirzepatide
Open the trial in the graph
NCT07504172 not yet recruitingstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Real-world Effectiveness and Dosing Patterns of Tirzepatide: A Multicentre Retrospective Observational Study in the Netherlands

Ran2026Enrolled1,700Registered outcomes7Posted comparisons0ConditionsObesity (Disorder), Overweight , ObesityArmsTirzepatide
PMID 35658024PMID 41039116other papers from this trial
Open the trial in the graph
NCT07734792 phase2 / phase3not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Effect of Tirzepatide on Functional Outcomes in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke Undergoing Endovascular Thrombectomy: A Multicenter, Randomized, Controlled, Blinded Outcome Assessment Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsoryifang zhuRan2026 to 2028Enrolled430ConditionsAcute Ischemic Stroke (AIS)ArmsTirzepatide, Standard Medical Care (SMC)
NCT07756359 phase4not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Efficacy of the Dual GIP - GLP-1 Receptor Agonist Tirzepatide in Patients With an Ileal Pouch-anal Anastomosis (IPAA) and Chronic High Bowel Frequency (I8F-NS-X008)

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of North Carolina, Chapel HillRan2026 to 2027Enrolled20ConditionsPouch, Ileal, Pouches, Ileoanal, Bowel Diseases, InflammatoryArmsTirzepatide, Loperamide, Diphenoxylate/Atropine
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

201 citing papers in PubMed, 13 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  9. Effect of Tirzepatide on arrhythmic, major cardiovascular, and neurological outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2025 · on this map
    Pooled it
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  11. CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2025
    Guideline
  12. Pharmacotherapy for obesity management in adults: 2025 clinical practice guideline update.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2025
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141 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Ania M JastreboffY-Weight Yale Obesity Research Center, Section of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.ORCID 0000-0003-1446-0991
Carel W le RouxDiabetes Complications Research Centre, University College Dublin, Dublin.
Adam StefanskiEli Lilly, Indianapolis.
Louis J AronneComprehensive Weight Control Center, Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Metabolism, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York.
Bruno HalpernHospital 9 de Julho, São Paulo.ORCID 0000-0003-0973-5065
Sean WhartonUniversity of Toronto, Toronto.
John P H WildingDepartment of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom.
Leigh PerreaultUniversity of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora.
Shuyu ZhangEli Lilly, Indianapolis.
Ramakrishna BattulaEli Lilly, Indianapolis.
Mathijs C BunckEli Lilly, Indianapolis.
Nadia N AhmadEli Lilly, Indianapolis.
Irina JouravskayaEli Lilly, Indianapolis.
SURMOUNT-1 Investigators

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundObesity is a chronic disease and causal precursor to myriad other conditions, including type 2 diabetes. In an earlier analysis of the SURMOUNT-1 trial, tirzepatide was shown to provide substantial and sustained reductions in body weight in persons with obesity over a 72-week period. Here, we report the 3-year safety outcomes with tirzepatide and its efficacy in reducing weight and delaying progression to type 2 diabetes in persons with both obesity and prediabetes.

methodsWe performed a phase 3, double-blind, randomized, controlled trial in which 2539 participants with obesity, of whom 1032 also had prediabetes, were assigned in a 1:1:1:1 ratio to receive tirzepatide at a once-weekly dose of 5 mg, 10 mg, or 15 mg or placebo. The current analysis involved the participants with both obesity and prediabetes, who received their assigned dose of tirzepatide or placebo for a total of 176 weeks, followed by a 17-week off-treatment period. The three key secondary end points, which were controlled for type I error, were the percent change in body weight from baseline to week 176 and onset of type 2 diabetes during the 176-week and 193-week periods.

resultsAt 176 weeks, the mean percent change in body weight among the participants who received tirzepatide was -12.3% with the 5-mg dose, -18.7% with the 10-mg dose, and -19.7% with the 15-mg dose, as compared with -1.3% among those who received placebo (P<0.001 for all comparisons with placebo). Fewer participants received a diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in the tirzepatide groups than in the placebo group (1.3% vs. 13.3%; hazard ratio, 0.07; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.0 to 0.1; P<0.001). After 17 weeks off treatment or placebo, 2.4% of the participants who received tirzepatide and 13.7% of those who received placebo had type 2 diabetes (hazard ratio, 0.12; 95% CI, 0.1 to 0.2; P<0.001). Other than coronavirus disease 2019, the most common adverse events were gastrointestinal, most of which were mild to moderate in severity and occurred primarily during the dose-escalation period in the first 20 weeks of the trial. No new safety signals were identified.

conclusionsThree years of treatment with tirzepatide in persons with obesity and prediabetes resulted in substantial and sustained weight reduction and a markedly lower risk of progression to type 2 diabetes than that with placebo. (Funded by Eli Lilly; SURMOUNT-1 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04184622.).

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsObesityPrediabetic StateTirzepatideAdultAnti-Obesity AgentsBody WeightDisease ProgressionDose-Response Relationship, DrugDouble-Blind MethodFemaleGastrointestinal DiseasesHumansMaleMiddle AgedAnti-Obesity AgentsGlucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsTirzepatide

Identifiers

PMID39536238

What Socratic holds

Texttitle and abstract
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.