Observational studyScientific reports2025

Comparative cardiovascular outcomes of semaglutide to dulaglutide in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Takefumi Kishimori, Takao Kato, Atsuyuki Wada, Akira Tani, Ryosuke Yamaji, Jumpei Koike, Yoshihiro Iwasaki, Takehiro Matsumoto, Takafumi Yagi, Masaharu Okada

Abstract readObservational StudyComparative Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph read 4 numbers from its abstract, feeding 2 cells of the map, but none could be read as for or against, so it casts no vote. It also reports 4 associations that do not count as treatment evidence, such as HR 0.75 (0.72 to 0.78) for all-cause death. Cited by 2 papers.

4numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

Read, but not usablea number the graph found but could not read as for or against

All-cause deathsemaglutide vs dulaglutidean association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.750.72 to 0.78
The primary outcome measure was all-cause death during the 3-year follow-up period.; secondary outcomes were acute myocardial infarction, stroke, and acute heart failure.Over 3 years, the risk for all-cause death in patients who received semaglutide relative to those who received dulaglutide was significantly lower (4.2% vs. 5.6%, p < 0.001; hazard ratio [HR] 0.75; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.72-0.78).
Acute myocardial infarctionsemaglutide vs dulaglutidean association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.940.91 to 0.97p < 0.001
Similarly, patients who received semaglutide were less likely to have acute myocardial infarction (5.2% vs. 5.6%; HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.91-0.97; p < 0.001), stroke (5.8% vs. 6.4%; HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.87-0.93; p < 0.001), and acute heart failure (5.3% vs. 6.1%; HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.85-0.91; p < 0.001).In this multicenter, retrospective, observational study, semaglutide was associated with lower 3-year risks of all-cause death, acute myocardial infarction, stroke, and acute heart failure compared with dulaglutide in patients with type 2 diabetes.
Strokesemaglutide vs dulaglutidean association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.900.87 to 0.93p < 0.001
Similarly, patients who received semaglutide were less likely to have acute myocardial infarction (5.2% vs. 5.6%; HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.91-0.97; p < 0.001), stroke (5.8% vs. 6.4%; HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.87-0.93; p < 0.001), and acute heart failure (5.3% vs. 6.1%; HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.85-0.91; p < 0.001).In this multicenter, retrospective, observational study, semaglutide was associated with lower 3-year risks of all-cause death, acute myocardial infarction, stroke, and acute heart failure compared with dulaglutide in patients with type 2 diabetes.
Acute heart failuresemaglutide vs dulaglutidean association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.880.85 to 0.91p < 0.001
Similarly, patients who received semaglutide were less likely to have acute myocardial infarction (5.2% vs. 5.6%; HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.91-0.97; p < 0.001), stroke (5.8% vs. 6.4%; HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.87-0.93; p < 0.001), and acute heart failure (5.3% vs. 6.1%; HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.85-0.91; p < 0.001).In this multicenter, retrospective, observational study, semaglutide was associated with lower 3-year risks of all-cause death, acute myocardial infarction, stroke, and acute heart failure compared with dulaglutide in patients with type 2 diabetes.

clause the extractor read what became the number

2 · Its place on the map

Where it lands on the map

Rows are treatments, columns are outcomes. The coloured squares are the cells this paper feeds, coloured by the vote it casts there. Click one to jump to what this paper adds to it.

supports the treatmentfavours the comparatorno clear differenceread, but no usable result
3 · What it changes

What it adds to each cell

For every cell the paper feeds: the belief in the claim with and without this paper, and this paper's estimate drawn against every other readable study in the cell. The ringed dot is this paper.

GLP-1 receptor agonists×all-cause mortality

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

11 readable studies in this cell: 7 favour the treatment, 4 find no difference, 0 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.87replicated · 7 families support, 1 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
1 · no effect
NCT0399313226,774 enrolled · 2018
HR 0.990.83 to 1.18
NCT0357459717,604 enrolled · 2018
HR 0.800.72 to 0.89
NCT013949529,901 enrolled · 2011
HR 0.880.79 to 0.99
NCT039143269,651 enrolled · 2019
HR 0.860.77 to 0.96
NCT011790489,341 enrolled · 2010
HR 0.870.78 to 0.97
NCT038191533,533 enrolled · 2019
HR 0.760.66 to 0.88
NCT017204463,297 enrolled · 2013
HR 0.740.58 to 0.95
NCT026927163,183 enrolled · 2017
HR 0.790.57 to 1.11
HR 1.100.57 to 2.14

This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.

GLP-1 receptor agonists×cardiovascular events

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

13 readable studies in this cell: 7 favour the treatment, 2 find no difference, 4 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.50contested · 7 families support, 3 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
1 · no effect
NCT0399313226,774 enrolled · 2018
HR 1.010.91 to 1.11
NCT0357459717,604 enrolled · 2018
HR 0.800.72 to 0.89
NCT013949529,901 enrolled · 2011
HR 0.880.79 to 0.99
NCT039143269,651 enrolled · 2019
HR 0.860.77 to 0.96
NCT011790489,341 enrolled · 2010
HR 0.870.78 to 0.97
NCT038191533,533 enrolled · 2019
HR 0.760.66 to 0.88
NCT017204463,297 enrolled · 2013
HR 0.740.58 to 0.95
NCT026927163,183 enrolled · 2017
HR 0.790.57 to 1.11
OR 1.951.28 to 3.00
NCT05564039282 enrolled · 2022
OR 20.48.40 to 49.8

This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.

4 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

5 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
6 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

7 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Takefumi KishimoriDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Omi Medical Center, Kusatsu, Japan.
Takao KatoDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine, 54 Shogoin Kawahara-cho, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto, 606-8507, Japan. tkato75@kuhp.kyoto-u.ac.jp.
Atsuyuki WadaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Omi Medical Center, Kusatsu, Japan.
Akira TaniDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Omi Medical Center, Kusatsu, Japan.
Ryosuke YamajiDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Omi Medical Center, Kusatsu, Japan.
Jumpei KoikeDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Omi Medical Center, Kusatsu, Japan.
Yoshihiro IwasakiDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Omi Medical Center, Kusatsu, Japan.
Takehiro MatsumotoDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Omi Medical Center, Kusatsu, Japan.
Takafumi YagiDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Omi Medical Center, Kusatsu, Japan.
Masaharu OkadaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Omi Medical Center, Kusatsu, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

8 · The paper itself

Abstract

The marked sentences are the ones the graph read a number from.

Type 2 diabetes significantly increases cardiovascular risk. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA) reduce major adverse cardiovascular events, heart failure hospitalizations, and death. However, the comparison among GLP-1 RAs on cardiovascular outcomes is limited. We compared all-cause death and cardiovascular events in patients using semaglutide or dulaglutide in patients with type 2 diabetes. This retrospective observational study used the TriNetX database of deidentified electronic medical records from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2020. We identified 4,691,652 patients with type 2 diabetes, among whom 231,075 initiated semaglutide and 189,103 initiated dulaglutide. After propensity score matching, 171,105 patients were included in each group. The primary outcome measure was all-cause death during the 3-year follow-up period.; secondary outcomes were acute myocardial infarction, stroke, and acute heart failure.Over 3 years, the risk for all-cause death in patients who received semaglutide relative to those who received dulaglutide was significantly lower (4.2% vs. 5.6%, p < 0.001; hazard ratio [HR] 0.75; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.72-0.78). Similarly, patients who received semaglutide were less likely to have acute myocardial infarction (5.2% vs. 5.6%; HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.91-0.97; p < 0.001), stroke (5.8% vs. 6.4%; HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.87-0.93; p < 0.001), and acute heart failure (5.3% vs. 6.1%; HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.85-0.91; p < 0.001).In this multicenter, retrospective, observational study, semaglutide was associated with lower 3-year risks of all-cause death, acute myocardial infarction, stroke, and acute heart failure compared with dulaglutide in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Glucagon-Like PeptidesHypoglycemic AgentsImmunoglobulin Fc FragmentsRecombinant Fusion ProteinsAgedFemaleGlucagon-Like Peptide 1Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesSemaglutideTreatment OutcomedulaglutideGlucagon-Like Peptide 1Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsGlucagon-Like PeptidesHypoglycemic AgentsImmunoglobulin Fc FragmentsRecombinant Fusion ProteinsSemaglutide

Identifiers

PMID40594279
PMCPMC12217050

What Socratic holds

Texttitle and abstract
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.