Trial reportThe New England journal of medicine2016

Semaglutide and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.

Steven P Marso, Stephen C Bain, Agostino Consoli, Freddy G Eliaschewitz, Esteban Jódar, Lawrence A Leiter, Ildiko Lingvay, Julio Rosenstock, Jochen Seufert, Mark L Warren and 6 more

16 registry-linked trialsOpen access · bronzeAbstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Trial report in The New England journal of medicine, 2016. The graph read 3 numbers from its abstract, feeding 2 cells of the map: it finds no clear difference in 1. It reports registered trial NCT01720446. Cited by 2,804 papers, 17 of them syntheses that pooled it.

3numbers the graph read from it
1cell of the map it votes in
2,804citing papers in PubMed, 17 pooled it
393.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
0.51 · no effect
Cardiovascular eventsfavours the treatment · against placebo · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.610.38 to 0.99P=0.04
Nonfatal myocardial infarction occurred in 2.9% of the patients receiving semaglutide and in 3.9% of those receiving placebo (hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.51 to 1.08; P=0.12); nonfatal stroke occurred in 1.6% and 2.7%, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.99; P=0.04).
Cardiovascular eventsno clear difference · against placebo · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.740.51 to 1.08P=0.12
Nonfatal myocardial infarction occurred in 2.9% of the patients receiving semaglutide and in 3.9% of those receiving placebo (hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.51 to 1.08; P=0.12); nonfatal stroke occurred in 1.6% and 2.7%, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.99; P=0.04).

Read, but not usablea number the graph found but could not read as for or against

Kidney outcomescomparator not stated · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 1.761.11 to 2.78P=0.02
Rates of new or worsening nephropathy were lower in the semaglutide group, but rates of retinopathy complications (vitreous hemorrhage, blindness, or conditions requiring treatment with an intravitreal agent or photocoagulation) were significantly higher (hazard ratio, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.11 to 2.78; P=0.02).

clause the extractor read what became the number

2 · Its place on the map

Where it lands on the map

Rows are treatments, columns are outcomes. The coloured squares are the cells this paper feeds, coloured by the vote it casts there. Click one to jump to what this paper adds to it.

supports the treatmentfavours the comparatorno clear differenceread, but no usable result
3 · What it changes

What it adds to each cell

For every cell the paper feeds: the belief in the claim with and without this paper, and this paper's estimate drawn against every other readable study in the cell. The ringed dot is this paper.

GLP-1 receptor agonists×cardiovascular events

InconclusiveOpen on the map →What to test next →

13 readable studies in this cell: 6 favour the treatment, 3 find no difference, 4 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.50contested · 7 families support, 3 contradict · against placebo
Without it
0.50This paper does not move the number.
← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
1 · no effect
This paper3,297 enrolled · 2013
HR 0.740.51 to 1.08
NCT0399313226,774 enrolled · 2018
HR 1.010.91 to 1.11
NCT0357459717,604 enrolled · 2018
HR 0.800.72 to 0.89
NCT013949529,901 enrolled · 2011
HR 0.880.79 to 0.99
NCT039143269,651 enrolled · 2019
HR 0.860.77 to 0.96
NCT011790489,341 enrolled · 2010
HR 0.870.78 to 0.97
NCT038191533,533 enrolled · 2019
HR 0.760.66 to 0.88
NCT026927163,183 enrolled · 2017
HR 0.790.57 to 1.11
OR 1.951.28 to 3.00
NCT05564039282 enrolled · 2022
OR 20.48.40 to 49.8

GLP-1 receptor agonists×kidney outcomes

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

7 readable studies in this cell: 3 favour the treatment, 4 find no difference, 0 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.50contested · 2 families support, 1 contradict · against placebo
Without it
0.40This paper moves it by +0.10.
← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
1 · no effect
This paper’s trial, registry resultNCT01720446 · 3,297 enrolled · 2013
Treatment ratio 0.780.68 to 0.89
NCT011790489,341 enrolled · 2010
HR 0.780.67 to 0.92
NCT038191533,533 enrolled · 2019
HR 0.760.66 to 0.88
NCT01620489279 enrolled · 2012
Estimated treatment ratio 0.980.94 to 1.02
NCT04865770106 enrolled · 2021
Treatment ratio 0.980.96 to 1.01
4 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01720446 phase3completed

A Long-term, Randomised, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled, Multinational, Multi-centre Trial to Evaluate Cardiovascular and Other Long-term Outcomes With Semaglutide in Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes (SUSTAIN™ 6 - Long-term Outcomes)

Ran2013Enrolled3,297Registered outcomes16Posted comparisons54ConditionsDiabetes, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2ArmsPlacebo, semaglutide
Open the trial in the graph
NCT04122716 phase4unknown status

Synergy Effect of the Appetite Hormone GLP-1 (LiragluTide) and Exercise on Maintenance of Weight Loss and Health After a Low Calorie Diet - the S-LiTE Randomized Trial

Ran2016Enrolled215Registered outcomes28Posted comparisons0ConditionsObesityArmsExercise, liraglutide
Open the trial in the graph
NCT05478707 phase2recruitingstarted 2023, after this paper: background citation

Therapeutic Strategies for Microvascular Dysfunction in Type 1 Diabetes

Ran2023Enrolled47Registered outcomes5Posted comparisons0ConditionsDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1, Endothelial DysfunctionArmsDulaglutide, Placebo
Open the trial in the graph
NCT05870462 phase4unknown statusstarted 2023, after this paper: background citation

Semaglutide and Vascular Regeneration in People With Diabetes and/or Obesity

Ran2023Enrolled100Registered outcomes4Posted comparisons0ConditionsAtherosclerosis, Cardiovascular Diseases, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, ObesityArmsSemaglutide Pen Injector
Open the trial in the graph
NCT06606821 phase4recruitingstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

The Effects of Tirzepatide on Coronary Plaque Lipid Content and Myocardial Microvascular Function in Overweight and Obese People With Coronary Disease - The IDEAL-COR Study

Ran2024Enrolled124Registered outcomes23Posted comparisons0ConditionsAtherosclerosis Cardiovascular Disease, Chronic Coronary Artery Disease, Coronary Artery Disease, Coronary Microvascular DysfunctionArmsPlacebo, Tirzepatide
Open the trial in the graph
NCT06894784 phase3recruitingstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Semaglutide And Empagliflozin Combination Therapy Added To Automated Insulin Delivery In Adults With Type 1 Diabetes (SEMPA)

Ran2025Enrolled36Registered outcomes13Posted comparisons0ConditionsDiabetes Type 1ArmsIntervention Period 1: Semaglutide + Empagliflozin, Intervention Period 2: Semaglutide + Empagliflozin Placebo, Intervention Period 3: Semaglutide Placebo + Empagliflozin, Intervention Period 4: Semaglutide Placebo + Empagliflozin Placebo
Open the trial in the graph
NCT07065383 narecruitingstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Intramyocellular Lipid Compartments After Glucagon-like Peptide 1 Receptor Agonist Therapy in Type 2 Diabetes - Rebalancing the Fat Content of the Heart and Muscles

Ran2025Enrolled60Registered outcomes2Posted comparisons0ConditionsDiabetes Mellitus Type 2ArmsSemaglutide administration plus dietary counselling and physical activity encouragement, Semaglutide plus a personalised and supervised program of resistance and endurance training
Open the trial in the graph
NCT07284511 phase2 / phase3recruitingstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Fully Closed-Loop Glucose Control in Adults With Type 1 Diabetes Using Tirzepatide: a Randomized, Multi-center, Open-label, Non-inferiority, Parallel Trial

Ran2026Enrolled105Registered outcomes35Posted comparisons0ConditionsT1D, T1DM, T1DM - Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 DiabetesArmsCarbohydrate Counting, No Meal Announcement, Tandem Control-IQ Automated Insulin Delivery System (with Dexcom G7 CGM), Tirzepatide
Open the trial in the graph
NCT07723820 not yet recruitingstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Glycemic Velocity as a Modifiable Determinant of Early Retinal Microvascular and Choroidal Change During Initiation of GLP-1 Receptor Agonist Versus SGLT2 Inhibitor Therapy in Type 2 Diabetes: A Prospective Multimodal Retinal Imaging Cohort Study (the GLIDE Study)

Ran2026Enrolled126Registered outcomes9Posted comparisons0ConditionsDiabetic Retinopathy (DR), Type 2 Diabetes MellitusArmsGLP-1 Receptor Agonists, SGLT2 inhibitor
Open the trial in the graph
NCT04231838 naunknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2021, after this paper: background citation

A Randomised Controlled International Multicentre Study Evaluating Changes in Metabolic Syndrome in Smokers With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus After Switching From Tobacco Cigarettes to Combustion-Free Nicotine Delivery Systems: DIASMOKE Study

TypeinterventionalSponsorEclat Srl.Ran2021 to 2026Enrolled576ConditionsCardiovascular Risk Factor, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2ArmsTOBACCO CIGARETTES, COMBUSTION-FREE NICOTINE DELIVERY SYSTEMS (C-F NDS)
NCT05349955 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

Effects and Safety of GUideline Algorithm Based Intervention on CaRdiovascular and Renal Outcomes in Elderly Diabetic Patients With High Cardiovascular Risk in the Community- A Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial (GUARD-Community Study)

TypeinterventionalSponsorShanghai Zhongshan HospitalRan2022 to 2026Enrolled5,600ConditionsType 2 Diabetes, Cardiovascular Complication, Diabetic Kidney DiseaseArmsIntensive guideline algorithm implementation, Conventional guideline algorithm implementation
NCT07030621 phase3not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Efficacy of Semaglutide in Improving Neurological Outcomes After Endovascular Thrombectomy for Acute Ischemic Stroke: A Randomized Double-Blind Controlled Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorRenJi HospitalRan2025 to 2028Enrolled436ConditionsAcute Ischemic StrokeArmsSemaglutide 0.5 mg, Normal Saline
NCT07090343 phase3not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Semaglutide for Reducing Cardiovascular Events in Patients Undergoing Transcatether Aortic Valve Replacement

TypeinterventionalSponsorLeiden University Medical CenterRan2026 to 2031Enrolled826ConditionsAortic Stenosis, Heart FailureArmsWegovy ®, Placebo
NCT07092605 early_phase1enrolling by invitationnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

Effectiveness of Microdosed GLP-1 in Improving Health, Quality of Life, and Longevity Measures: For Use in Healthy Individuals Ages 18-65 Who Seek to Improve Their Health and Longevity Through Low-dose (Microdosed) GLP1 Receptor Agonists

TypeinterventionalSponsorAgelessRxRan2024 to 2025Enrolled150ConditionsLongevity, Quality of Life, Mood, InflammationArmsGLP-1, Placebo
NCT07190144 completednot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Coronary Flow Reserve Changes After Semaglutide Treatment

TypeobservationalSponsorEkrem Bilal KaraayvazRan2025 to 2025Enrolled122ConditionsThe Study Focused on the Vascular Effects of Semaglutide in Both Diabetic and Non-diabetic Patients, Obesity &Amp, Overweight
NCT07566299 completednot on this mapstarted 2017, after this paper: background citation

Early GLP-1 Receptor Agonist and SGLT2 Inhibitor Add-On Strategies in Adults With Obesity, Type 2 Diabetes, Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome Stage 2-3, and Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: A Target Trial Emulation

TypeobservationalSponsorChung Shan Medical UniversityRan2017 to 2026Enrolled118,805ConditionsObesity Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus, Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic Syndrome, Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease
5 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2,804 citing papers in PubMed, 17 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 6,314 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Semaglutide Effects on Adipose Tissue and Emerging Effects on Brain and Cognition.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2026
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  17. Guideline
  18. Trial
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  20. Trial

2,744 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

6 · The record

Corrections and comments

7 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 8 institutions in 9 countries.

Steven P MarsoFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Stephen C BainFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Agostino ConsoliFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Freddy G EliaschewitzFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Esteban JódarFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Lawrence A LeiterFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Ildiko LingvayFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Julio RosenstockFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Jochen SeufertFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Mark L WarrenFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Vincent WooFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Oluf HansenFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Anders G HolstFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Jonas PetterssonFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
Tina VilsbøllFrom the Research Medical Center, Kansas City, MO (S.P.M.); School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom (S.C.B.); Department of Medicine and Aging Science and Center of Excellence on Aging and Translational Medicine, G. d'Annunzio University, Chieti-Pescara, Italy (A.C.); CPClin Research Center/Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo (F.G.E.); Hospital Universitario Quirón Salud Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Madrid (E.J.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute and Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto (L.A.L.), and the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg (V.W.) - both in Canada; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (I.L.) and Dallas Diabetes Research Center at Medical City (J.R.) - both in Dallas; University of Freiburg Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany (J.S.); Physicians East, Greenville, NC (M.L.W.); and Novo Nordisk, Søborg (O.H., A.G.H., J.P.), and the Center for Diabetes Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup (T.V.) - both in Denmark.
SUSTAIN-6 Investigators
Swansea University · GBNovo Nordisk (Finland) · FIPhysicians East · USResearch Medical Center · USSt. Michael's Hospital · CAUniversidad Europea de Madrid · ESUniversity of Copenhagen · DKUniversity of Manitoba · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

8 · The paper itself

Abstract

The marked sentences are the ones the graph read a number from.

backgroundRegulatory guidance specifies the need to establish cardiovascular safety of new diabetes therapies in patients with type 2 diabetes in order to rule out excess cardiovascular risk. The cardiovascular effects of semaglutide, a glucagon-like peptide 1 analogue with an extended half-life of approximately 1 week, in type 2 diabetes are unknown.

methodsWe randomly assigned 3297 patients with type 2 diabetes who were on a standard-care regimen to receive once-weekly semaglutide (0.5 mg or 1.0 mg) or placebo for 104 weeks. The primary composite outcome was the first occurrence of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke. We hypothesized that semaglutide would be noninferior to placebo for the primary outcome. The noninferiority margin was 1.8 for the upper boundary of the 95% confidence interval of the hazard ratio.

resultsAt baseline, 2735 of the patients (83.0%) had established cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, or both. The primary outcome occurred in 108 of 1648 patients (6.6%) in the semaglutide group and in 146 of 1649 patients (8.9%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.58 to 0.95; P<0.001 for noninferiority). Nonfatal myocardial infarction occurred in 2.9% of the patients receiving semaglutide and in 3.9% of those receiving placebo (hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.51 to 1.08; P=0.12); nonfatal stroke occurred in 1.6% and 2.7%, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.99; P=0.04). Rates of death from cardiovascular causes were similar in the two groups. Rates of new or worsening nephropathy were lower in the semaglutide group, but rates of retinopathy complications (vitreous hemorrhage, blindness, or conditions requiring treatment with an intravitreal agent or photocoagulation) were significantly higher (hazard ratio, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.11 to 2.78; P=0.02). Fewer serious adverse events occurred in the semaglutide group, although more patients discontinued treatment because of adverse events, mainly gastrointestinal.

conclusionsIn patients with type 2 diabetes who were at high cardiovascular risk, the rate of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke was significantly lower among patients receiving semaglutide than among those receiving placebo, an outcome that confirmed the noninferiority of semaglutide. (Funded by Novo Nordisk; SUSTAIN-6 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01720446 .).

Indexed as

AgedCardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Diabetic NephropathiesDiabetic RetinopathyFemaleGastrointestinal DiseasesGlucagon-Like Peptide 1Glucagon-Like PeptidesGlycated HemoglobinHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleMiddle AgedSemaglutideGlucagon-Like Peptide 1Glucagon-Like PeptidesGlycated HemoglobinSemaglutide

Identifiers

PMID27633186
OpenAlexW2519510391

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