Trial reportThe New England journal of medicine2016
Semaglutide and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.
Trial report in The New England journal of medicine, 2016. The graph read 3 numbers from its abstract, feeding 2 cells of the map: it finds no clear difference in 1. It reports registered trial NCT01720446. Cited by 2,804 papers, 17 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
Nonfatal myocardial infarction occurred in 2.9% of the patients receiving semaglutide and in 3.9% of those receiving placebo (hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.51 to 1.08; P=0.12); nonfatal stroke occurred in 1.6% and 2.7%, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.99; P=0.04).
Nonfatal myocardial infarction occurred in 2.9% of the patients receiving semaglutide and in 3.9% of those receiving placebo (hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.51 to 1.08; P=0.12); nonfatal stroke occurred in 1.6% and 2.7%, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.99; P=0.04).
Read, but not usablea number the graph found but could not read as for or against
Rates of new or worsening nephropathy were lower in the semaglutide group, but rates of retinopathy complications (vitreous hemorrhage, blindness, or conditions requiring treatment with an intravitreal agent or photocoagulation) were significantly higher (hazard ratio, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.11 to 2.78; P=0.02).
clause the extractor read what became the number
Where it lands on the map
Rows are treatments, columns are outcomes. The coloured squares are the cells this paper feeds, coloured by the vote it casts there. Click one to jump to what this paper adds to it.
What it adds to each cell
For every cell the paper feeds: the belief in the claim with and without this paper, and this paper's estimate drawn against every other readable study in the cell. The ringed dot is this paper.
GLP-1 receptor agonists×cardiovascular events
InconclusiveOpen on the map →What to test next →13 readable studies in this cell: 6 favour the treatment, 3 find no difference, 4 favour the comparator.
GLP-1 receptor agonists×kidney outcomes
No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →7 readable studies in this cell: 3 favour the treatment, 4 find no difference, 0 favour the comparator.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
A Long-term, Randomised, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled, Multinational, Multi-centre Trial to Evaluate Cardiovascular and Other Long-term Outcomes With Semaglutide in Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes (SUSTAIN™ 6 - Long-term Outcomes)
Open the trial in the graphSynergy Effect of the Appetite Hormone GLP-1 (LiragluTide) and Exercise on Maintenance of Weight Loss and Health After a Low Calorie Diet - the S-LiTE Randomized Trial
Therapeutic Strategies for Microvascular Dysfunction in Type 1 Diabetes
Semaglutide and Vascular Regeneration in People With Diabetes and/or Obesity
The Effects of Tirzepatide on Coronary Plaque Lipid Content and Myocardial Microvascular Function in Overweight and Obese People With Coronary Disease - The IDEAL-COR Study
Semaglutide And Empagliflozin Combination Therapy Added To Automated Insulin Delivery In Adults With Type 1 Diabetes (SEMPA)
Intramyocellular Lipid Compartments After Glucagon-like Peptide 1 Receptor Agonist Therapy in Type 2 Diabetes - Rebalancing the Fat Content of the Heart and Muscles
Fully Closed-Loop Glucose Control in Adults With Type 1 Diabetes Using Tirzepatide: a Randomized, Multi-center, Open-label, Non-inferiority, Parallel Trial
Glycemic Velocity as a Modifiable Determinant of Early Retinal Microvascular and Choroidal Change During Initiation of GLP-1 Receptor Agonist Versus SGLT2 Inhibitor Therapy in Type 2 Diabetes: A Prospective Multimodal Retinal Imaging Cohort Study (the GLIDE Study)
A Randomised Controlled International Multicentre Study Evaluating Changes in Metabolic Syndrome in Smokers With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus After Switching From Tobacco Cigarettes to Combustion-Free Nicotine Delivery Systems: DIASMOKE Study
Effects and Safety of GUideline Algorithm Based Intervention on CaRdiovascular and Renal Outcomes in Elderly Diabetic Patients With High Cardiovascular Risk in the Community- A Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial (GUARD-Community Study)
Efficacy of Semaglutide in Improving Neurological Outcomes After Endovascular Thrombectomy for Acute Ischemic Stroke: A Randomized Double-Blind Controlled Trial
Semaglutide for Reducing Cardiovascular Events in Patients Undergoing Transcatether Aortic Valve Replacement
Effectiveness of Microdosed GLP-1 in Improving Health, Quality of Life, and Longevity Measures: For Use in Healthy Individuals Ages 18-65 Who Seek to Improve Their Health and Longevity Through Low-dose (Microdosed) GLP1 Receptor Agonists
Coronary Flow Reserve Changes After Semaglutide Treatment
Early GLP-1 Receptor Agonist and SGLT2 Inhibitor Add-On Strategies in Adults With Obesity, Type 2 Diabetes, Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome Stage 2-3, and Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: A Target Trial Emulation
Who cites it
2,804 citing papers in PubMed, 17 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 6,314 citations in OpenAlex.
- Efficacy and Safety of GLP-1 Receptor Agonists on Combined Cardiovascular and Renal Outcomes in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Diabetes, obesity & metabolism · 2026 · on this mapPooled it
- Cardiovascular Outcomes With Tirzepatide Versus GLP-1 Receptor Agonists in Overweight or Obesity: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Diabetes, obesity & metabolism · 2026 · on this mapPooled it
- Cardiovascular Efficacy of GLP-1 Receptor Agonists by Kidney Function: An Updated Meta-Analysis of Randomized Trials Including the SOUL Trial.Diabetes, obesity & metabolism · 2026Pooled it
- Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist-based regimens compared with metformin-based regimens for preventing cardiovascular disease in adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2026Pooled it
- A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Semaglutide Effects on Adipose Tissue and Emerging Effects on Brain and Cognition.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2026Pooled it
- The Impact of GLP-1-Based Therapies on Cardiovascular Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes: A Comprehensive Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis.Diabetes, obesity & metabolism · 2026Pooled it
- Differential impact of glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists for weight loss in the type 2 diabetic and non-diabetic populations.Surgical endoscopy · 2026Pooled it
- The Effects of Combined Antihypertensive and Antidiabetic Therapies on Cardiovascular Outcomes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Diabetes, obesity & metabolism · 2026Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Change and Heart Failure Events With GLP-1 Receptor Agonists: A Meta-Analysis and Meta-Regression of Randomised Controlled Trials.Diabetes, obesity & metabolism · 2026Pooled it
- GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Across Myocardial Infarction-Defined Populations: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.American journal of cardiovascular drugs : drugs, devices, and other interventions · 2026Pooled it
- The effect of GLP-1 receptor agonists on osteoarthritis risk in individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.Acta diabetologica · 2026Pooled it
- Network and Pairwise Meta-Analysis of the Association Between Novel Hypoglycemic Agents and Atrial Fibrillation Risk in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.Diabetes/metabolism research and reviews · 2026Pooled it
- Effect of oral semaglutide on cardiometabolic risk factors in overweight and obese individuals with or without diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC pharmacology & toxicology · 2026 · on this mapPooled it
- Pooled it
- Semaglutide-associated risk of nonarteritic anterior ischemic optic neuropathy in patients with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.PLoS medicine · 2026 · on this mapPooled it
- [Diabetic kidney disease (Update 2026) : Guidelines in a collaboration of the Austrian Diabetes Association and the Austrian Society of Nephrology].Wiener klinische Wochenschrift · 2026Guideline
- Hepatic Safety of Orforglipron in Adults With Obesity or Overweight and/or Type 2 Diabetes: A Pooled Analysis of the Orforglipron Phase 3 Clinical Trials.Diabetes, obesity & metabolism · 2026Trial
- Potential Mediators of Efpeglenatide's Cardiovascular Benefit: An Exploratory Analysis of the AMPLITUDE-O Trial.Diabetes, obesity & metabolism · 2026Trial
- Safety and efficacy of GZR18, a long-acting GLP-1 analog, in Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes: A randomized, double-blind, phase 1b/2a trial.Cell reports. Medicine · 2026Trial
2,744 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
- Commented on by
- Commented on by
- Commented on by
- Commented on by
- Commented on by
- Commented on by
Authors and funding
16 authors at 8 institutions in 9 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The marked sentences are the ones the graph read a number from.
backgroundRegulatory guidance specifies the need to establish cardiovascular safety of new diabetes therapies in patients with type 2 diabetes in order to rule out excess cardiovascular risk. The cardiovascular effects of semaglutide, a glucagon-like peptide 1 analogue with an extended half-life of approximately 1 week, in type 2 diabetes are unknown.
methodsWe randomly assigned 3297 patients with type 2 diabetes who were on a standard-care regimen to receive once-weekly semaglutide (0.5 mg or 1.0 mg) or placebo for 104 weeks. The primary composite outcome was the first occurrence of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke. We hypothesized that semaglutide would be noninferior to placebo for the primary outcome. The noninferiority margin was 1.8 for the upper boundary of the 95% confidence interval of the hazard ratio.
resultsAt baseline, 2735 of the patients (83.0%) had established cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, or both. The primary outcome occurred in 108 of 1648 patients (6.6%) in the semaglutide group and in 146 of 1649 patients (8.9%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.58 to 0.95; P<0.001 for noninferiority). Nonfatal myocardial infarction occurred in 2.9% of the patients receiving semaglutide and in 3.9% of those receiving placebo (hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.51 to 1.08; P=0.12); nonfatal stroke occurred in 1.6% and 2.7%, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.99; P=0.04). Rates of death from cardiovascular causes were similar in the two groups. Rates of new or worsening nephropathy were lower in the semaglutide group, but rates of retinopathy complications (vitreous hemorrhage, blindness, or conditions requiring treatment with an intravitreal agent or photocoagulation) were significantly higher (hazard ratio, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.11 to 2.78; P=0.02). Fewer serious adverse events occurred in the semaglutide group, although more patients discontinued treatment because of adverse events, mainly gastrointestinal.
conclusionsIn patients with type 2 diabetes who were at high cardiovascular risk, the rate of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke was significantly lower among patients receiving semaglutide than among those receiving placebo, an outcome that confirmed the noninferiority of semaglutide. (Funded by Novo Nordisk; SUSTAIN-6 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01720446 .).
Indexed as
Identifiers
What Socratic holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.