SynthesisBMC medicine2021

Association of statin use in older people primary prevention group with risk of cardiovascular events and mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.

Kamal Awad, Maged Mohammed, Mahmoud Mohamed Zaki, Abdelrahman I Abushouk, Gregory Y H Lip, Michael J Blaha, Carl J Lavie, Peter P Toth, J Wouter Jukema, Naveed Sattar and 2 more

Open access · goldFull text readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMC medicine, 2021. The graph read 7 numbers from its abstract, feeding 1 cell of the map, but none could be read as for or against, so it casts no vote. It also reports 6 associations that do not count as treatment evidence, such as HR 0.75 (0.74 to 0.76) for all-cause mortality. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

7numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.1field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

Read, but not usablea number the graph found but could not read as for or against

All-cause mortalityan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvdfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.740.53 to 1.02
The overall combined estimate suggested that statin therapy was associated with a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.86 [95% CI 0.79 to 0.93]), CVD death (HR: 0.80 [95% CI 0.78 to 0.81]), and stroke (HR: 0.85 [95% CI 0.76 to 0.94]) and a non-significant association with risk of MI (HR 0.74 [95% CI 0.53 to 1.02]).
All-cause mortalityan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvdfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.750.74 to 0.76
The beneficial association of statins with the risk of all-cause mortality remained significant even at higher ages (> 75 years old; HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.81 to 0.96]) and in both men (HR: 0.75 [95% CI: 0.74 to 0.76]) and women (HR 0.85 [95% CI 0.72 to 0.99]).
All-cause mortalityan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvdfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.880.81 to 0.96
The beneficial association of statins with the risk of all-cause mortality remained significant even at higher ages (> 75 years old; HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.81 to 0.96]) and in both men (HR: 0.75 [95% CI: 0.74 to 0.76]) and women (HR 0.85 [95% CI 0.72 to 0.99]).
All-cause mortalityan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvdfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.860.79 to 0.93
The overall combined estimate suggested that statin therapy was associated with a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.86 [95% CI 0.79 to 0.93]), CVD death (HR: 0.80 [95% CI 0.78 to 0.81]), and stroke (HR: 0.85 [95% CI 0.76 to 0.94]) and a non-significant association with risk of MI (HR 0.74 [95% CI 0.53 to 1.02]).
All-cause mortalityan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvdfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.800.78 to 0.81
The overall combined estimate suggested that statin therapy was associated with a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.86 [95% CI 0.79 to 0.93]), CVD death (HR: 0.80 [95% CI 0.78 to 0.81]), and stroke (HR: 0.85 [95% CI 0.76 to 0.94]) and a non-significant association with risk of MI (HR 0.74 [95% CI 0.53 to 1.02]).
All-cause mortalityan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvdfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.850.76 to 0.94
The overall combined estimate suggested that statin therapy was associated with a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.86 [95% CI 0.79 to 0.93]), CVD death (HR: 0.80 [95% CI 0.78 to 0.81]), and stroke (HR: 0.85 [95% CI 0.76 to 0.94]) and a non-significant association with risk of MI (HR 0.74 [95% CI 0.53 to 1.02]).
All-cause mortalityan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvdfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.850.72 to 0.99
The beneficial association of statins with the risk of all-cause mortality remained significant even at higher ages (> 75 years old; HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.81 to 0.96]) and in both men (HR: 0.75 [95% CI: 0.74 to 0.76]) and women (HR 0.85 [95% CI 0.72 to 0.99]).

clause the extractor read what became the number

2 · Its place on the map

Where it lands on the map

Rows are treatments, columns are outcomes. The coloured squares are the cells this paper feeds, coloured by the vote it casts there. Click one to jump to what this paper adds to it.

supports the treatmentfavours the comparatorno clear differenceread, but no usable result
3 · What it changes

What it adds to each cell

For every cell the paper feeds: the belief in the claim with and without this paper, and this paper's estimate drawn against every other readable study in the cell. The ringed dot is this paper.

Statins×all-cause mortality

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

14 readable studies in this cell: 3 favour the treatment, 9 find no difference, 2 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.50contested · 3 families support, 2 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
1 · no effect
NCT023442907,769 enrolled · 2015
HR 0.880.70 to 1.12
HR 1.010.91 to 1.11
NCT03944512102 enrolled · 2019
RR 0.670.37 to 1.19
RR 0.990.89 to 1.11

This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.

4 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

5 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 43 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. [Prevention of ischemic stroke in old age].Zeitschrift fur Gerontologie und Geriatrie · 2024
    Review
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Observational
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
6 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

7 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 8 institutions in 5 countries.

Kamal AwadFaculty of Medicine, Zagazig University, Zagazig, Egypt. kamal225244@medicine.zu.edu.eg.ORCID 0000-0001-6707-1629
Maged MohammedFaculty of Medicine, Zagazig University, Zagazig, Egypt.
Mahmoud Mohamed ZakiFaculty of Medicine, Zagazig University, Zagazig, Egypt.
Abdelrahman I AbushoukDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, OH, USA.
Gregory Y H LipLiverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Liverpool and Liverpool Heart & Chest Hospital, Liverpool, UK.
Michael J BlahaThe Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Carl J LavieJohn Ochsner Heart and Vascular Institute, Ochsner Clinical School-the University of Queensland School of Medicine, New Orleans, LA, USA.
Peter P TothThe Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
J Wouter JukemaDepartment of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands and Netherlands Heart Institute, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Naveed SattarInstitute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Maciej BanachHead Department of Hypertension, WAM University Hospital in Lodz, Medical University of Lodz (MUL), Lodz, Poland. maciejbanach77@gmail.com.
Lipid and Blood Pressure Meta-analysis Collaboration (LBPMC) Group and the International Lipid Expert Panel (ILEP)
Zagazig University · EGJohns Hopkins University · USCleveland Clinic · USLeiden University Medical Center · NLMedical University of Lodz · PLOchsner Medical Center · USUniversity of Glasgow · GBUniversity of Liverpool · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

8 · The paper itself

Abstract

The marked sentences are the ones the graph read a number from.

backgroundCurrent evidence from randomized controlled trials on statins for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in older people, especially those aged > 75 years, is still lacking. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies to extend the current evidence about the association of statin use in older people primary prevention group with risk of CVD and mortality.

methodsPubMed, Scopus, and Embase were searched from inception until March 18, 2021. We included observational studies (cohort or nested case-control) that compared statin use vs non-use for primary prevention of CVD in older people aged ≥ 65 years; provided that each of them reported the risk estimate on at least one of the following primary outcomes: all cause-mortality, CVD death, myocardial infarction (MI), and stroke. Risk estimates of each relevant outcome were pooled as a hazard ratio (HR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) using the random-effects meta-analysis model. The quality of the evidence was rated using the GRADE approach.

resultsTen observational studies (9 cohorts and one case-control study; n = 815,667) fulfilled our criteria. The overall combined estimate suggested that statin therapy was associated with a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.86 [95% CI 0.79 to 0.93]), CVD death (HR: 0.80 [95% CI 0.78 to 0.81]), and stroke (HR: 0.85 [95% CI 0.76 to 0.94]) and a non-significant association with risk of MI (HR 0.74 [95% CI 0.53 to 1.02]). The beneficial association of statins with the risk of all-cause mortality remained significant even at higher ages (> 75 years old; HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.81 to 0.96]) and in both men (HR: 0.75 [95% CI: 0.74 to 0.76]) and women (HR 0.85 [95% CI 0.72 to 0.99]). However, this association with the risk of all-cause mortality remained significant only in those with diabetes mellitus (DM) (HR 0.82 [95% CI 0.68 to 0.98]) but not in those without DM. The level of evidence of all the primary outcomes was rated as "very low."

conclusionsStatin therapy in older people (aged ≥ 65 years) without CVD was associated with a 14%, 20%, and 15% lower risk of all-cause mortality, CVD death, and stroke, respectively. The beneficial association with the risk of all-cause mortality remained significant even at higher ages (> 75 years old), in both men and women, and in individuals with DM, but not in those without DM. These observational findings support the need for trials to test the benefits of statins in those above 75 years of age.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase InhibitorsMyocardial InfarctionStrokeAgedCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansMaleObservational Studies as TopicPrimary PreventionHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase InhibitorsMortalityMyocardial infarctionOlderPrimary preventionStatinsStroke

Identifiers

PMID34154589
PMCPMC8218529
OpenAlexW3175194506

What Socratic holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.