SynthesisThe Cochrane database of systematic reviews2011

Statins for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease.

Fiona Taylor, Kirsten Ward, Theresa Hm Moore, Margaret Burke, George Davey Smith, Juan-Pablo Casas, Shah Ebrahim

4 registry-linked trialsAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in The Cochrane database of systematic reviews, 2011. The graph read 3 numbers from its abstract, feeding 2 cells of the map, but none could be read as for or against, so it casts no vote. It is linked to 4 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 179 papers, 22 of them syntheses that pooled it.

3numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
179citing papers in PubMed, 22 pooled it
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

Read, but not usablea number the graph found but could not read as for or against

Cardiovascular eventscomparator not stated · ascvd, dyslipidemiafeeds one cell of the map
RR 0.660.53 to 0.83
Benefits were also seen in the reduction of revascularisation rates (RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.83).
All-cause mortalitycomparator not stated · ascvd, dyslipidemiafeeds one cell of the map
RR 0.700.61 to 0.79
All-cause mortality was reduced by statins (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.95) as was combined fatal and non-fatal CVD endpoints (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.79).
All-cause mortalitycomparator not stated · ascvd, dyslipidemiafeeds one cell of the map
RR 0.830.73 to 0.95
All-cause mortality was reduced by statins (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.95) as was combined fatal and non-fatal CVD endpoints (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.79).

clause the extractor read what became the number

2 · Its place on the map

Where it lands on the map

Rows are treatments, columns are outcomes. The coloured squares are the cells this paper feeds, coloured by the vote it casts there. Click one to jump to what this paper adds to it.

supports the treatmentfavours the comparatorno clear differenceread, but no usable result
3 · What it changes

What it adds to each cell

For every cell the paper feeds: the belief in the claim with and without this paper, and this paper's estimate drawn against every other readable study in the cell. The ringed dot is this paper.

Cardiac procedures & devices×cardiovascular events

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

3 readable studies in this cell: 2 favour the treatment, 0 find no difference, 1 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.50contested · 3 families support, 2 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
1 · no effect

This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.

Statins×all-cause mortality

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

14 readable studies in this cell: 3 favour the treatment, 9 find no difference, 2 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.50contested · 3 families support, 2 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
1 · no effect
NCT023442907,769 enrolled · 2015
HR 0.880.70 to 1.12
HR 1.010.91 to 1.11
NCT03944512102 enrolled · 2019
RR 0.670.37 to 1.19
RR 0.990.89 to 1.11

This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.

4 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01634906 nacompletedstarted 2012, after this paper: background citation

Erythrocyte-bound Apolipoprotein B After Withdrawal of Statin Therapy

Ran2012Enrolled55Registered outcomes3Posted comparisons0ConditionsAtherosclerosis, HyperlipidemiaArmsTemporary discontinuation of statin therapy
Open the trial in the graph
NCT02255682 phase4completedstarted 2015, after this paper: background citation

Living With Statins - The Impact of Cholesterol Lowering Drugs on Health, Lifestyle and Well-being

Ran2015Enrolled35Registered outcomes5Posted comparisons0ConditionsCardiovascular Disease, Diabetes MellitusArmsQ10, simvastatin
Open the trial in the graph
NCT02796378 phase4unknown statusstarted 2016, after this paper: background citation

Living With Statins - The Impact of Cholesterol Lowering Drugs on Health, Lifestyle and Well-being

Ran2016Enrolled30Registered outcomes5Posted comparisons0ConditionsCardiovascular Disease, Diabetes MellitusArmsTraining+Simvastatin-placebo+Q10-placebo, Training+Simvastatin+Q10, Training+Simvastatin+Q10-placebo
Open the trial in the graph
NCT02250677 completednot on this mapstarted 2014, after this paper: background citation

LIFESTAT - Living With Statins, a Cross Sectional Study on the Impact of Cholesterol Lowering Drugs on Health, Lifestyle and Well-being

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity of CopenhagenRan2014 to 2016Enrolled75ConditionsCardiovascular Disease, Diabetes Mellitus
5 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

179 citing papers in PubMed, 22 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. 2018 Guidelines for the management of dyslipidemia.The Korean journal of internal medicine · 2019
    Guideline
  5. Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
  7. Pooled it
  8. Pooled it
  9. Pooled it
  10. Guideline
  11. Dietary advice for reducing cardiovascular risk.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2013
    Pooled it
  12. Perioperative statin therapy for improving outcomes during and after noncardiac vascular surgery.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2013 · on this map
    Pooled it
  13. Pooled it
  14. Statins for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2013 · on this map
    Pooled it
  15. Pooled it
  16. Pooled it
  17. Pooled it
  18. Pooled it
  19. Pooled it
  20. Pooled it

119 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

6 · The record

Corrections and comments

7 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Fiona TaylorDepartment of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, UK, WC1E 7HT.
Kirsten Ward
Theresa Hm Moore
Margaret Burke
George Davey Smith
Juan-Pablo Casas
Shah Ebrahim

Funding

Medical Research Council G0600705
8 · The paper itself

Abstract

The marked sentences are the ones the graph read a number from.

backgroundReducing high blood cholesterol, a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in people with and without a past history of coronary heart disease (CHD) is an important goal of pharmacotherapy. Statins are the first-choice agents. Previous reviews of the effects of statins have highlighted their benefits in people with coronary artery disease. The case for primary prevention, however, is less clear.

objectivesTo assess the effects, both harms and benefits, of statins in people with no history of CVD. SEARCH STRATEGY: To avoid duplication of effort, we checked reference lists of previous systematic reviews. We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (Issue 1, 2007), MEDLINE (2001 to March 2007) and EMBASE (2003 to March 2007). There were no language restrictions. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised controlled trials of statins with minimum duration of one year and follow-up of six months, in adults with no restrictions on their total low density lipoprotein (LDL) or high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol levels, and where 10% or less had a history of CVD, were included. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two authors independently selected studies for inclusion and extracted data. Outcomes included all cause mortality, fatal and non-fatal CHD, CVD and stroke events, combined endpoints (fatal and non-fatal CHD, CVD and stroke events), change in blood total cholesterol concentration, revascularisation, adverse events, quality of life and costs. Relative risk (RR) was calculated for dichotomous data, and for continuous data pooled weighted mean differences (with 95% confidence intervals) were calculated. MAIN

resultsFourteen randomised control trials (16 trial arms; 34,272 participants) were included. Eleven trials recruited patients with specific conditions (raised lipids, diabetes, hypertension, microalbuminuria). All-cause mortality was reduced by statins (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.95) as was combined fatal and non-fatal CVD endpoints (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.79). Benefits were also seen in the reduction of revascularisation rates (RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.83). Total cholesterol and LDL cholesterol were reduced in all trials but there was evidence of heterogeneity of effects. There was no clear evidence of any significant harm caused by statin prescription or of effects on patient quality of life. AUTHORS'

conclusionsAlthough reductions in all-cause mortality, composite endpoints and revascularisations were found with no excess of adverse events, there was evidence of selective reporting of outcomes, failure to report adverse events and inclusion of people with cardiovascular disease. Only limited evidence showed that primary prevention with statins may be cost effective and improve patient quality of life. Caution should be taken in prescribing statins for primary prevention among people at low cardiovascular risk.

Indexed as

AdultCardiovascular DiseasesCause of DeathCholesterol, HDLCholesterol, LDLHumansHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase InhibitorsPrimary PreventionRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicCholesterol, HDLCholesterol, LDLHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID21249663
PMCPMC4164175

What Socratic holds

Texttitle and abstract
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.